Football Bet of the Day: Defences to be cut open in Cucuta

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Cucuta Deportivo and Independiente Medellin can give Colombia something to celebrate tonight

"Going back to August last year, Medellin have scored in 13/16 away from home"

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.3611/8 in Cucuta Deportivo v Ind Medellin

Tobias Gourlay's making what he hopes will be a goal-filled trip to Colombia

Cucuta Deportivo v Ind Medellin
Thursday 23:00

St Mirren made a show of themselves in Scotland last night. The Premiership's bottom side had a golden opportunity to open the scoring from the penalty spot, but Simeon Jackson butchered a panenka and the visitors never recovered. They lost 1-0 and took our BTTS bet down with them.

We're recovering in Colombia, where one of tonight's two Primera A games brings 13th-placed Independiente Medellin to fifth-placed Cucuta Deportivo. The visitors have lost 4/5 on the road, but they have also scored in 4/5 and we reckon they can chip in to take this game to Over 2.5 Goals, which is available at a juicy 2.3611/8.

Going back to August last year, Medellin have actually scored in 13/16 away from home. Nine of those matches reached Over 2.5 Goals in total, including four of the last five.

Cucuta Deportivo are back in Colombia's top flight for the first time since 2015. They have started well on home turf, going W4-D1-L1 so far - despite keeping just a couple of clean sheets in those matches. At the other end, the hosts have struck 13 times across the six games at Estadio General Santander, with 4/6 reaching Over 2.5 Goals. All of this suggests Over 2.5 Goals should be much closer to an even-money bet this evening. We're taking the big price while we can.

Recommended bets

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.3611/8 in Cucuta Deportivo v Ind Medellin

2019 P/L (1pt per bet)

Staked: 43pts
Returned: 48.38pts
P/L: +5.38pts

Tobias Gourlay

A Betfair regular since Euro 2008, Tobias covers every blade of grass in every league of the world to find our Football Bet of the Day.

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