"Since Marcelo Oliveira took charge just after this season began, 13/16 of Atletico's home matches have gone Over 2.5 Goals"
If you want a party tonight, you need to be in Belo Horizonte, says Tobias Gourlay
Atletico MG v Palmeiras
Thursday 23:00 (Live on Betfair Live)
In the end, it was the Big Green that doused the Great Fire, Botafogo 0 Chapecoense 2 wasn't part of the plan, but we're giving Brazil - and another set of Big Greens - one more chance tonight.
Top-of-the-table Palmeiras are travelling to fourth-placed Atletico MG and their clash should be worth staying up for. Cuca's league leaders have lost 7/8 Campeonato meetings with the Roosters including four in a row at Independencia Stadium.
But it's the match goals totals we're interesting: each of those four games in Belo Horizonte delivered Over 2.5 Goals. Since Marcelo Oliveira took charge just after this season began, 13/16 of Atletico's home matches have gone the same way and that's our bet for today.
Palmeiras have a cushion at the top and should still win the title, even if they lose this one. The Big Green have scored at least twice in 5/7 on the road recently and can do their bit to get this one over the line.
Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.9210/11 in Atletico MG v Palmeiras