European Football Tips: Monaco may repeat November thrashing of Guingamp

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Falcao, Monaco's leading scorer!

Our Best Bet: Back Monaco above fair value of 1.6

Every weekend Walter Toner scours the major football leagues looking for value bets using his Performance Index algorithm. Here is his compilation of this weekend's most compelling prices..

Spain Primera-Division
Leganes v Dep. La Coruna
Friday, April 20, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.35/4 Draw 3.185/40 Away 2.68/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.845/6 Draw 3.7511/4 Away 5.39/2

Recommended Bet: Back Leganes above fair value


Germany Bundesliga
Hannover v Bayern Munich
Saturday, April 21, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 5.04/1 Draw 4.3100/30 Away 1.558/15
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.574/7 Draw 4.47/2 Away 7.87/1

Recommended Bet: Back Bayern Munich above fair value


Germany Bundesliga
Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen
Saturday, April 21, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.245/4 Draw 3.4549/20 Away 2.8415/8
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.35/4 Draw 3.7511/4 Away 3.412/5

Recommended Bet: Back Dortmund above fair value


England Championship
Leeds v Barnsley
Saturday, April 21, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.546/4 Draw 3.1511/5 Away 2.68/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.845/6 Draw 3.8014/5 Away 5.409/2

Recommended Bet: Back Leeds above fair value


France Ligue-1
Guingamp v Monaco
Saturday, April 21, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.8514/5 Draw 3.55/2 Away 1.855/6
Fair Value Odds - Home 7.6013/2 Draw 5.409/2 Away 1.501/2

Recommended Bet: Back Monaco above fair value


France Ligue-1
Amiens v Strasbourg
Saturday, April 21, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.3411/8 Draw 3.052/1 Away 32/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.9110/11 Draw 3.6013/5 Away 5.04/1

Recommended Bet: Back Amiens above fair value


Italy Serie-A
Spal v AS Roma
Saturday, April 21, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 4.57/2 Draw 3.412/5 Away 1.84/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 11.010/1 Draw 5.204/1 Away 1.402/5

Recommended Bet: Back AS Roma above fair value


Italy Serie-A
Cagliari v Bologna
Sunday, April 22, 2018

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.9520/21 Draw 3.211/5 Away 3.8514/5
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.942/1 Draw 3.4012/5 Away 2.727/4

Recommended Bet: Back Bologna above fair value

Follow Walter and the for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex


Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 386 pts
Returned: 417.9 pts
Profit: 31.9 pts or 108% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 197 pts
Returned: 198.9 pts
Profit: 1.9 pts or 101% ROI

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