La Liga Correct Score Predictor with Infogol: Tips for every fixture of GW5

Nikola Vukcevic Eden Hazard
Levante picked up an impressive 1-0 win over Real Madrid in February

Using Expected Goals (xG) data from Infogol, Tom Victor provides La Liga result and scoreline predictions for the last games before the international break...

"Real Madrid were made to work for their midweek win, with Vinícius Júnior coming off the bench to score the only goal against Valladolid, and opponents Levante were one of only a handful of sides to stop them scoring last season."

Valladolid to frustrate Eibar

Real Valladolid v Eibar
Saturday, 12:00
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Valladolid and Eibar are both coming off narrow midweek defeats, but Sergio González's hosts will be feeling slightly better about the situation than their opponents after keeping Real Madrid scoreless for more than an hour. They're narrow favourites to beat an Eibar side which lost to Elche on Tuesday, with Infogol not anticipating too many goals at Estadio José Zorrilla.

Back the 2-0 @ 11/112.00

Atlético to rediscover their scoring touch

Atlético Madrid v Villarreal
Saturday, 15:00
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A lot has changed since Atléti came from behind to beat Villarreal in February, but this game may come too early for Unai Emery to produce a big away result. The hosts are 52% to win based on Infogol's model, but will need to be more clinical than they were last week in their goalless draw against Huesca.

Back the 2-0 @ 8/19.00

Huesca to win battle of promoted sides

Elche v Huesca
Saturday, 17:30
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Huesca are still waiting for their first win of the campaign, but will take heart from having held Atlético Madrid last time out. They were just a minute or two away from doing the double over Elche last season as both came up from the Segunda División, and Infogol's model gives them a slight edge against Jorge Almirón's men this time around.

Back the 1-2 @ 11.50

Real Sociedad to earn only second home win since February

Real Sociedad v Getafe
Saturday, 17:30
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La Real won eight of their 13 home games before La Liga went on hiatus last season, but have tasted victory at Anoeta just once since the restart, with the run continuing into this season. Imanol Alguacil's side were hurt by a red card in the corresponding fixture last season, but Infogol gives them the edge in what's likely to be a low-scoring game if both sides sustain their full complement of 11 men.

Back the 2-0 @ 11.50

Valencia to add to Betis' woes

Valencia v Real Betis
Saturday, 20:00
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After a decent start, Real Betis have shipped six goals in their last two games, though Getafe's 3-0 win was a much closer game than the scoreline suggests. They face a Valencia side who haven't been able to repeat their four-goal haul of the opening weekend but should have enough to take all three points at the Mestalla and potentially build on their midweek clean sheet.

Back the 2-0 @ 16.50


Osasuna to return to winning ways

Osasuna v Celta Vigo
Sunday, 11:00
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Osasuna got a break in midweek, with scheduled opponents Granada on Europa League duty, and will come in fresh against a Celta side which struggled to create at home to Barcelona. They needed a late José Arnaiz goal to take all three points from the corresponding fixture in July, and Infogol anticipates another victory for Jagoba Arrasate's side with not much in the way of goalmouth action.

Back the 2-0 @ 13/114.00

Athletic to pick up second away win of the season

Alavés v Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, 13:00
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Athletic Bilbao haven't been at their best this season, failing to break down Cádiz on Thursday despite the visitors finishing with nine men, but they should face more generous opponents in the form of Alavés. Pablo Machin's hosts are winless in four, with just two goals scored, and Infogol offers a 39% chance of a low-scoring away win (41% O2.5, 47% BTTS).

Back the 0-2 @ 10/111.00

Champions to keep rolling on

Levante v Real Madrid
Sunday, 15:00
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Real Madrid were made to work for their midweek win, with Vinícius Júnior coming off the bench to score the only goal against Valladolid, and opponents Levante were one of only a handful of sides to stop them scoring last season. However, Infogol still makes Madrid 62% favourites to win in Valencia as Levante are in action at home following three away games to start their season.

Back the 0-2 @ 8/18.80

Granada to ride Europa high to rebound in league

Cádiz v Granada
Sunday, 17:30
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Granada made sure of their place in the Europa League group stage on Thursday, and can use that momentum to put a heavy defeat at Atlético Madrid behind them and return to winning ways in the league. Cádiz rode their luck in beating Athletic on Thursday night, and will be without Carlos Akapo and Álvaro Negredo after the pair saw red at San Mamés.

Back the 0-2 @ 12/113.00

Barça to keep up 100% start

Barcelona v Sevilla
Sunday, 20:00
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Barcelona survived the first half dismissal of Clément Lenglet to win in Vigo on Thursday, and have looked relatively defensively solid in their first two games after lacking in that department at the tail end of last season. Sevilla will offer a tougher test, and Julen Lopetegui's visitors also have maximum points from their two games, but Infogol's model sees the home side edging a tight contest.

Back the 2-1 @ 7/18.00


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