La Liga Correct Score Predictor with Infogol: Tips for every fixture of GW3

Lionel Messi and Ronald Koeman
Ronald Koeman will need to get Lionel Messi firing immediately for Barcelona

Using Expected Goals (xG) data from Infogol, Tom Victor provides La Liga result and scoreline predictions as Barcelona get their season underway...

"Ronald Koeman’s first game as Barcelona manager will be the club’s first since their Champions League humiliation against Bayern Munich, but the former Netherlands manager can make the ideal start against a Villarreal side which lost twice to them last season."

Getafe to go back-to-back with Alavés win

Alavés v Getafe
Saturday, 12:00
Watch on Betfair Live Video

Getafe were back at their 'keeping it tight' best last weekend, beating Osasuna in a game which brought 1.17 xG between the two teams, and they should have no trouble shutting out an Alavés side who have no points from their first two games. Infogol's model gives the visitors a 41% chance of victory, but don't expect goals, with just a 35% chance of more than 2.5.

Back the 0-2 @ 11/112.00

Valencia to benefit from Mestalla return

Valencia v Huesca
Saturday, 15:00
Watch on Betfair Live Video

Valencia suffered a deserved away defeat at Celta Vigo, based on the xG of the game, but Javi Gracia's side can return to winning ways at home to Huesca. Los Che are 49% to take all three points against their newly-promoted opponents, who took a step back last week after earning a good point at Villarreal in their opening game.

Back the 2-0 @ 10/111.00

Real Sociedad to prolong unbeaten start

Elche v Real Sociedad
Saturday, 17:30
Watch on Betfair Live Video

Real Sociedad have been hard to break down so far this season, restricting the chances of both Valladolid and Real Madrid in their first two games, and a trip to Elche gives them a chance to follow those draws with a win. Infogol's model gives the visitors a 51% chance of victory, but the hosts will hope to get off to a winning start as they begin their season later than some rivals following their promotion in the Segunda División play-offs.

Back the 1-2 @ 9/19.80

Real Madrid to get the better of former boss Pellegrini

Real Betis v Real Madrid
Saturday, 20:00
Watch on Betfair Live Video

Real Betis have flown out of the blocks under new manager Manuel Pellegrini, earning two wins from as many games, but the Chilean's former employers Real Madrid will present a sterner task than they've faced so far. The champions began with a goalless draw against Real Sociedad, but Infogol expects them to get the better of a low-scoring clash at Benito Villamarín.

Back the 1-2 @ 8/19.20

Osasuna to take three points from home opener

Osasuna v Levante
Sunday, 11:00
Watch on Betfair Live Video

Jagoba Arrasate's Osasuna began their season with two away games, but the visit of Levante to El Sadar gives them a chance to get more points on the board. Infogol's model puts their chances at 43% against a visiting side who gave Valencia plenty of chances in a 4-2 defeat on the first weekend of the season.

Back the 2-0 @ 11/112.00

osasuna-cadiz.jpg

Eibar to pile more misery on Athletic

Eibar v Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, 13:00
Watch on Betfair Live Video

Athletic had no more joy in their first outing of the season, having ended the 2019/20 campaign with four defeats from five, and an average of 0.88 xGF across their last six La Liga outings doesn't make for pleasant reading. Eibar's defence may give them a greater sight of goal than Granada's did last time out, but Infogol still backs José Luis Mendilibar's team to take all three points.

Back the 2-0 @ 16/117.00

Atléti to bring Granada back down to earth

Atlético Madrid v Granada
Sunday, 15:00
Watch on Betfair Live Video

Last season's third-place finishers Atlético Madrid begin their season later than most due to their Champions League involvement in August, and they will do so with Luis Suárez among their ranks following the Uruguayan's move from Barcelona. Regardless of whether their new signing plays, Diego Simeone's side can use their home advantage to pip fast-starting Granada, with Infogol putting the hosts' chances at 58%.

Back the 2-0 @ 5/16.00

Sevilla to open with win in Cádiz

Cádiz v Sevilla
Sunday, 17:30
Watch on Betfair Live Video

Europa League winners Sevilla play their first competitive game since that final, travelling to last season's Segunda champions Cádiz. Álvaro Cervera's hosts deserved their three points last time out at Huesca, but will find it hard to break down a team which averaged an xGA of just 1.07 per game across the whole of last season. Infogol gives Julen Lopetegui's visitors a 49% chance of victory, and doesn't anticipate much goalmouth action.

Back the 0-2 @ 6/17.20

Valladolid to earn first win as Celta come to town

Real Valladolid v Celta Vigo
Sunday, 17:30
Watch on Betfair Live Video

Two goals from Iago Aspas gave Celta Vigo a victory over Valencia last week, but Valladolid can cut them down to size at José Zorrilla. Sergio González's men kept Real Sociedad's chances to a minimum in their last home game, and Infogol's model backs another low-scoring affair with just a 35% chance of more than 2.5 goal and both teams to score down at 42%.

Back the 2-0 @ 13/114.00

Koeman's Barça tenure to begin with home win

Barcelona v Villarreal
Sunday, 20:00
Watch on Betfair Live Video

Ronald Koeman's first game as Barcelona manager will be the club's first since their Champions League humiliation against Bayern Munich, but the former Netherlands manager can make the ideal start against a Villarreal side which lost twice to them last season. Infogol's model gives Barça a 57% chance of victory, but we can't rule out the prospect of the visitors - who have four points from two games - finding a way past goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen.

Back the 2-1 @ 15/28.60

***

autumn additons graphic.png

Read past articles