Betis to win home opener
Real Betis v Cádiz
Friday, 20:00
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Betis and Cádiz both drew their opening games of the season, and neither can have too many complaints about the result. However, home advantage may be telling on Friday, despite Cádiz outperforming their underlying numbers to impress on the road last term. The corresponding fixture in 2020-21 was decided by a single Guido Rodríguez goal, and a similar result may be forthcoming.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-0 @ 7.6013/2
Alavés to get off the mark
Alavés v Mallorca
Saturday, 16:00
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Despite finding themselves bottom of the pile after a 4-1 loss to Real Madrid, Alavés can take some positives from their chance creation against Carlo Ancelotti's side. They're at Mendizorrotza once more this weekend, hosting a Mallorca side coming off an opening draw, and Infogol's model gives the hosts a reasonable edge over their newly promoted opponents.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-0 @ 10.5019/2
Villarreal to break duck at Espanyol
Espanyol v Villarreal
Saturday, 18:30
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Two teams who drew blanks on opening weekend meet in Barcelona, and Villarreal will hope they can build on the 1.48 xGF they averaged away from home last season. The hosts lost the corresponding fixture by a single goal during their 2019-20 relegation campaign, and Infogol's model suggests it will be tough for Vicente Moreno's side to void a comparable result this time around.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 0-2 @ 11.5021/2
Granada's defence to stand firm
Granada v Valencia
Saturday, 18:30
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Granada escaped Villarreal with a point last weekend, despite their opponents having the better of the xG by some distance, and Robert Moreno's side were far better defensively at home than away under Diego Martínez last term. Jorge Molina's late goal settled the corresponding game in the hosts' favour last season, with neither team ending the game with 11 men, and we could well be in for a similar result despite both teams appointing new managers in the interim.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-0 @ 13.0012/1
Barça to go two for two
Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona
Saturday, 21:00
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Barcelona's impressive attacking display against Real Sociedad was the perfect tonic for fans after a tough summer, with 3.61 xGF the highest return of La Liga's 20 teams on opening weekend. Next up for Ronald Koeman's men is a trip to San Mamés, where they came from behind to win last season, and Infogol backs the visitors despite Athletic's impressive home xGA record last term.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 0-2 @ 10.009/1
La Real to get a win under their belts
Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, 16:00
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An average of 2.07 xGF per home game last season for Real Sociedad was the second-highest in La Liga, and newcomers Rayo Vallecano aren't expected to overcome that. The visitors drew a blank against Sevilla last time out, and will know there are easier games to come, but it's tough to see anything other than a home win at Anoeta with Infogol giving the hosts a 62% chance.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-0 @ 7.6013/2
Atléti to continue winning start
Atlético Madrid v Elche
Sunday, 18:30
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Last week's win in Vigo wasn't entirely smooth sailing for the champions, with Ángel Correa's second goal finally sealing victory, but things are expected to be simpler against Elche. Fran Escribá's side had the league's worst away xGF last term, losing 3-1 at the Wanda Metropolitano along the way, and Infogol anticipates a similar outcome on Sunday evening.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 3-0 @ 7.206/1
Real Madrid to pass Levante test
Levante v Real Madrid
Sunday, 21:00
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Real Madrid only spent one week at the top of La Liga last season, but it came off the back of a win to nil away at Levante early in the season. A repeat would be a welcome sight for Los Blancos, and Infogol expects they will have enough to see off opponents who were denied an opening day victory by Pacha Espino's stoppage-time equaliser in Cádiz.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 0-3 @ 14.0013/1
Sevilla to continue solid start
Getafe v Sevilla
Monday, 19:00
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After restricting Rayo to 0.53 xGF in a comprehensive opening weekend win, Sevilla are up against a Getafe side who struggled for goals - both real and expected - during the 2020-21 season. The corresponding fixture last term was a game of few chances, with the teams producing just 1.10 xG between them, and the visitors are expected to claim victory in another low-scoring affair.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 0-2 @ 10.5019/2
El Sadar battle to end all square
Osasuna v Celta Vigo
Monday, 21:00
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Plenty has changed since Osasuna saw off Celta at the start of last season, with Eduardo Coudet's arrival in Vigo helping the losers that day turn their season around and finish in the top half. Infogol finds very little to choose between these teams, neither of whom managed to claim a victory on the opening weekend, and it would be no huge surprise if the meeting ended with both teams settling for a point.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 1-1 @ 6.205/1
Recommended bets
Real Betis v Cádiz: Back the 2-0 @ 7.6013/2
Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona: Back the 0-2 @ 10.009/1
Levante v Real Madrid: Back the 0-3 @ 14.0013/1
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