Using Expected Goals (xG) data from Infogol, Tom Victor provides La Liga result and scoreline predictions as Atlético Madrid bid to go seven points clear...
"Atlético Madrid can go seven points clear with a win on Thursday night, and a trip to face a team with just one home win all season is very inviting indeed."
Cádiz to earn back-to-back wins for first time this season
After a dominant victory at home to Alavés, Cádiz have a chance to earn successive league wins for the first time since they clinched their promotion to La Liga over the summer. Opponents Levante haven't won any of their last seven on the road, and an average of 0.80 xGF per game across their last three away from home will give the hosts hope of another home win as they look to cement their mid-table status.
Back the 2-0 @ 16.50
Valladolid to come out on top in six-pointer
Just two points separate Valladolid and Elche, both of whom stayed in trouble with home defeats last time out, and the hosts will be desperate to use their home advantage to pull away from danger. Jorge Almirón's visitors last won a league game in October, and have been second-best in xG terms in each of their last six outings, explaining Infogol's model giving the home side a 45% chance of success.
Back the 2-0 @ 9.4017/2
Abelardo to lose first league game in Alavés hotseat
Abelardo has replaced Pablo Machin in the home dugout, after a poor run of results spelled the end for his predecessor, but the former Barcelona defender will be up against it as his side plays host to Sevilla. The corresponding fixture last term brought a 1-0 away win, and Infogol's model backs a similar outcome despite the high-flying visitors losing to Atlético Madrid last time out.
Back the 0-2 @ 8.4015/2
New manager, same struggles for Huesca
Recent poor form spelled the end for Michel, who has been replaced in the Huesca dugout by former Elche boss Pacheta. His first task is to take something away to a Getafe side who beat his former employers last time out, but an average of 2.96 xGA across the last three games suggests the visitors will be up against it in a game for which Infogol makes the home side 48% favourites.
Back the 2-0 @ 8.007/1
Betis to climb above Celta with home win
Last week's trip to Huesca brought Betis a result and performance which was long overdue, and Manuel Pellegrini's men have a chance to follow it up with three points at home. Celta's home hammering by Villarreal will have come as a shock given their recent resurgence, and the hosts can take advantage to make it three wins in 10 days including their Copa Del Rey progress in Gijón.
Back the 2-1 @ 9.6017/2
Villarreal to stay unbeaten on home soil
Some 20 of Granada's 27 points have come at home, so their trip to face a Villarreal side with five wins and four draws from nine games at Estadio de la Cerámica suggests only one outcome. Unai Emery's hosts are coming off a last-gasp cup victory in Tenerife, and an average of 0.84 xGA per game at home this term backs up Infogol's suggestion that a win to nil could be on the cards.
Back the 2-0 @ 7.6013/2
Valencia to continue clawing their way up the table
Valencia have yet to record back-to-back league wins under Javi Gracia, but they are unlikely to get many better chances than this. Visitors Osasuna are one of a handful of teams below Los Che in the table, and lost 2-0 at the Mestalla last term. While Infogol's model doesn't anticipate goals - just a 43% chance of more than 2.5 and a 49% chance of both sides scoring - it gives Gracia's men a slight edge.
Back the 2-0 @ 9.809/1
Atléti to extend their lead at the top
Atlético Madrid can go seven points clear with a win on Thursday night, and a trip to face a team with just one home win all season is very inviting indeed. That one Eibar home win came in their last game at Ipurua, an impressive takedown of Granada, but the visitors will have fancied their chances even before the arrival of new striker Moussa Dembélé on loan from Lyon.
Back the 0-2 @ 7.006/1
Cádiz v Levante: Back the 2-0 @ 16.50
Valladolid v Elche: Back the 2-0 @ 9.4017/2
Alavés v Sevilla: Back the 0-2 @ 8.4015/2
Getafe v Huesca: Back the 2-0 @ 8.007/1
Real Betis v Celta Vigo: Back the 2-1 @ 9.6017/2
Villarreal v Granada: Back the 2-0 @ 7.6013/2
Valencia v Osasuna: Back the 2-0 @ 9.809/1
Eibar v Atlético Madrid: Back the 0-2 @ 7.006/1