English FA Cup

Saturday's FA Cup Tips: Back 17/10 Blues at Wrexham & 9/2 Toon to take down Man City

  • Paul Higham
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Paul Higham's FA Cup bets for Saturday include 9/2 Newcastle to upset Man City

Paul Higham has Saturday's FA Cup tipsheet, with an 11/82.38 keeper special for Arsenal, 17/102.70 Chelsea to spoil Wrexham's Hollywood story and 9/25.50 Newcastle to upset Man City...


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Back a goalkeeper to be fouled at Field Mill

Click here for Mansfield v Arsenal odds
12:15 kick-off
Live on TNT Sports 1

Mikel Arteta could rest whoever he wants for this one with the Champions League coming up next week but Arsenal are still 1/161.06 as there's more than enough depth in his squad. Mansfield are 28/129.00 after just one win in 10 but that was in the last round of the FA Cup as they knocked Burnley out at Turf Moor. 

It's a huge game for the Stags in just their fifth appearance at this stage and first since 1975, but they're in the bottom half of League One and 59 places below the Premier League leaders, with even boss Nigel Clough admitting they could get demolished if the Gunners hit their stride. Given Manfield's scoring problems an Arsenal win to nil at 4/71.57 seems the most likely result.

But with so much focus on Arsenal's set pieces though, I fancy a side bet more as the best way forward in this one. Even Clough has been talking about set pieces in the build-up, so with a League One side no strangers to Arsenals rough and tumble at set pieces preference here goes to the 11/82.38 on either goalkeeper to be fouled, which certainly has favourable conditions to land here.


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Back Blues to win an entertaining tie

Click here for Wrexham v Chelsea odds
17:45 kick-off
Live on BBCi, BBC One & TNT Sports 2

A dream draw for Wrexham and their Hollywood owners but even for them a 6/17.00 upset home victory seems a bit far fetched. Liam Rosenior does have the Champions League to think about though so may make changes that could unbalance the big 4/111.36 favourites - plus the hosts have already beaten Nottingham Forest here in the FA Cup this season.

The Blues have won their last 24 FA Cup ties against teams in a lower division and the way they've been playing recently you wouldn't expect that run to end here, but the Welsh side obviously carry a threat on a big night at home - where they've scored in all bar one game this season - so I'd expect them to give a good account of themselves.

I like the look of Wrexham top scorer Kieffer Moore at 13/82.63 for 1+ headed shot on target, as they'll surely try and feed the big veteran as often as they can and use his dominance in the air, while Josh Windass is a 16/54.20 anytime goalscorer with five FA Cup goals in his last five starts in the competition. Best bet though remains a professional Chelsea win but with a home goal to celebrate.


Back Magpies to pull of minor cupset

Click here for Newcastle v Man City odds
20:00 kick-off
Live on TNT Sports 1

A fascinating tie this one with team selections huge for this fifth meeting of the season - how high will Eddie Howe and Pep Guardiola prioritise this one with the Champions League coming up? We're not expecting big changes but there could be tweaks to the squads here and there, with Man City pegged as 21/202.05 favourites and Newcastle 23/103.30 home underdogs.

Both are really good cup teams - City's amazing record in the FA Cup has seen them win 18 of 20 games over the last four years, with the only two losses beiung back-to-back final defeats to Man Utd and Crystal Palace. Howe's changes may come from necessity given they played Man Utd with 10 men during the week.

I'm not sure Erling Haaland will start but Antoine Semenyo should and is 9/52.80 anytime scorer while William Osula may get a chance to start after his midweek heroics and is 12/53.40, but Harvey Barnes to score or assist at 17/102.70 would be my pick for Newcastle. He's scored four and assisted one in seven home FA Cup starts and leads the team in chances created and shots this season.

But for the match result I think the home crowd can play a big part here and Newcastle, still be on a high after midweek, may just want it a bit more to dig out a result.


Now read the rest of the weekend's football match previews & tips from out experts


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