Explore Same Game Multi option for Cotterill's first league game
Shrewsbury Town v Accrington Stanley
Wednesday 2nd December, kick-off 19:00
It's a warm welcome back to the Football League for Steve Cotterill, who rather surprisingly was named as the new boss at Shrewsbury last week. The former Birmingham manager had been out of the game for two years, so it certainly caught me napping. I was steadfast in thinking the job was made for a Paul Hurst return.
Cotterill oversaw a scrappy 1-0 FA Cup win against a spirited Oxford City for his first game in charge, and this will be a stern examination against Accrington - who have kept a clean sheet in five successive fixtures (W4 D1).
Town can't boast anything of that ilk, but the two are fairly evenly matched in terms of the betting here with Stanley narrow favourites at 2.526/4 and Shrewsbury at 2.8415/8. I think the visitors deserve to be that sort of price and they've done well to hit 22 points for the season. Plus they have games in hand.
When the market is like this, my preference is to play for the draw as I can see the hosts building on their 2-2 last week against MK Dons - the result that ultimately cost Sam Ricketts his job.
The Double Chance is a bit short at around 1.608/13, but we've had a couple winners using the SAME GAME MULTI on the Sportsbook, so I am happy to weigh in with the Double Chance and Under 2.5 that pays out 2.33.
KEY OPTA STAT: Shrewsbury have lost two of their last three meetings with Accrington - as many as their first 15 games against them in the Football League.
Hull still look fair value to continue fine home record
Hull City v Doncaster Rovers
Wednesday 2nd November, kick-off 19:00
My own personal horror run siding with Hull continued at the weekend following an FA Cup exit at the hands of League Two Stevenage Borough. Yes, it's a bit of a cliche about promotion as the be-all-and-end-all, but I didn't quite expect 11 changes from City boss Grant McCann.
Hull have won 10 of their 13 league matches this term. I've found two of their defeats and managed Sunday's loss so I'm getting somewhat frustrated.
But their price of 1.981/1 is actually reasonable considering their excellent record. I guarantee if Sunderland held that sequence, they'd be around 1.758/11.
The Tigers have conceded only two goals at home this term (in a 1-2 loss to Peterborough), and with the platform of four clean sheets from five, the inconsistencies of Doncaster could result in them finding it tough to breach a good defence.
Backing the Clean Sheet and 'Yes' for the hosts will be popular, but they've also bagged three 1-0 scores in those five games mentioned, so it might be worth exploring the Correct Score market.
KEY OPTA STAT: Hull have won 10 of their 13 league matches this term, the earliest they have reached that number since 1948-9.
Evans can get the better of new Gasman Tisdale
Bristol Rovers v Gillingham
Wednesday 2nd December, kick-off 19:00
Sometimes prices in League One just look wrong. Granted, this is a tricky game to mark-up, but quite how Bristol Rovers are deemed worthy of a price of 2.47/5 is beyond me.
They have scored just one league goal in their last four and have picked up just once victory all season. Indeed, the 4-1 hammering at home against Fleetwood cost Ben Garner his job, and the recent appointment of Paul Tisdale in charge probably is impacting on the price.
Tisdale was excellent at Exeter and had a good track record of developing young players, and he'll have no trouble holding onto his moniker as the most fashionable boss in football this Tuesday against Steve Evans.
Gillingham endured an awful October and a run of five losses on the spin without a goal has seen managers sacked, but Evans stuck it out and they've turned the corner recently with wins against AFC Wimbledon and Crewe. They also earned a point against Charlton.
At around 3.211/5, they look overpriced, but I am tipping up the Double Chance more these days to get two onside and I certainly think the Gills are good enough to earn a point. Especially against a team who have lost their last three at home.
KEY OPTA STAT: Bristol Rovers have won only one of their last six league meetings with Gillingham.
Recommended bets
Back Shrewsbury Double Chance and Under 2.5 @ 2.33 in Same Game Multi on the Sportsbook
Back Hull City to beat Doncaster @ 1.981/1
Back Gillingham Double Chance @ 1.75/7 v Bristol Rovers
Alan Dudman's League One P&L
League One 2020/21: +1.28pts
FA Cup 2020/21 (1pt): +8.57pts
2017/18 to 2019-2020: +42.24pts
*League One bets to a 0.5pt stake