EFL League One & League Two Tips: Back so solid Crewe for goals in two weekend trebles

• Alan has landed three winning accas this season

• Orient to struggle at Posh despite upturn

• Crewe's big xG and xA numbers key again

League One

Leg 1: Peterborough to beat Leyton Orient

Two points separate Peterborough and Leyton Orient, with the O's finding a recent bit of form with two wins from their last four - including a shock 1-2 success at League One leaders Exeter last weekend.

Backing them solely on that victory and for the Londoners to replicate that is a dangerous ploy as consistency in this division is virtually non-existent, and I am hoping the Posh can assert their authority at a price of 4/61.67.

Peterborough won their first three games in League One this season, but have since suffered three consecutive defeats - they last lost four in a row in the Football League in December 2022, and that has certainly influenced the price as they could be shorter if we were dealing with the "old Posh".

Recent signings Jadel Katongo, Zak Sturge and Jacob Wakeling have added to the younger looking squad, but the high profile players Jonson Clarke-Harris and Ronnie Edwards both remain but Darren Ferguson is hopeful of an improved effort this weekend.

"We need to start getting things better up top. We are an attacking team full of attacking players and some of our stats are very good. We have had more shots than anyone else, our expected goals is higher and we have the most touches in the penalty area, but we are not scoring enough goals from great positions," said Fergie.

The usual entertainment in two games at London Road so far was more prevalent in the recent 2-4 home loss to Derby, but they did beat Charlton 1-0 and could leave their usual 4-2-3-1 for this weekend in favour of a back three, which Fergie has toyed with in the recent EFL Trophy.

KEY OPTA STAT: Leyton Orient have lost their last three Football League meetings with Peterborough, never before losing four in a row against them.

Leg 2: Back Stevenage to beat Charlton

Stevenage sit surprisingly at the summit of League One with an impressive 14 points so far, although rather frustratingly they were held 2-2 at home last weekend in a game they were strongly expected to win.

The Borough have lost just once this term and have failed to score only once in nine matches, and they were a real attacking force last weekend as they created numerous chances and also hit the woodwork although he described heir defensive performance at times as shambolic.

Stevenage have only lost one of their last 10 league matches (W7 D2), while they have kept seven clean sheets during this run of fixtures (only five goals conceded).

Charlton recently appointed Michael Appleton as their new manager, and that's a puzzling and poor appointment as Appleton's football can be dull at times, as he's had plenty of jobs in this division without success save for his efforts at Lincoln.

A price of 19/201.95 in the Match Odds is quite generous on Steve Evans' side and have an xA of just 0.77, which is most impressive.

KEY OPTA STAT: After their win against Fleetwood last time out, which ended a run of four straight league defeats, Charlton will be looking for consecutive victories in League One for the first time since March.

Leg 3: Back Barnsley to beat Burton Albion

One of the shortest prices this weekend is on Barnsley at 4/71.57 to beat Burton, and those that fancied Burton to do well this season at a big price are not in a great position with just two points from their seven games so far. The Brewers are struggling for goals too at the moment with just one netted on the road and they've conceded four in three on the road.

Barnsley have lost just one of their five previous home league games against Burton Albion (W2 D2), a 1-2 reverse in the Championship in 2017-18 and that matches up impressively against Burton Albion, who are winless in their six league games this season (D2 L4), their second longest run without a win from the start of a Football League campaign (8 games last season).

The Tykes are off the back of a pair of 0-2 wins on the road against Wigan and Cheltenham although had previously lost at home twice at 1-3 - including a heavy loss to Posh, but they should be too strong here.

KEY OPTA STA: Burton Albion have only lost one of their last five league meetings with Barnsley (W3 D1), and are looking for successive wins over the Tykes for the first time, having beaten them 2-1 in April last season.

League Two

Leg 1: Back Over 2.5 Goals Wimbledon v Crewer

One of the constants in League Two, and form is held up better in the fourth tier, has been the goals involving Crewe this season.

In four matches at home they have scored 11 and conceded seven, and on the road it's equally impressive with six scored and four against. The goals backers at BTTS and overs have been in clover.

Indeed, their xA at 1.78 is startling considering they are doing so well in the play-off places at the moment.

Wimbledon have conceded four at home but are certainly more entertaining on the road and Jonnie Jackson's team have hit the BTTS bet in all three matches this term at Plough Lane with 1-1, 1-1 and 2-1 thus far.

The Dons haven't won any of their last seven home league games (D3 L4), conceding 14 goals during that run, and Crewe backers might fancy the win for the away team, but goals could be the agenda again and the Over 2.5 Goals at 8/111.73 looks solid.

KEY OPTA STAT: AFC Wimbledon have won just one of their previous eight EFL matches against Crewe Alexandra (D4 L3), a dramatic 3-2 victory in November 2021 won by a 94th minute Ayoub Assal goal.

Leg 2: Back BTTS Accrington and Sutton United

Another game that could produce a few goals this weekend is at Accrington - where the hosts have shipped five against their six scored so far.

John Coleman's team have hit the Over 2.5 Goals in three of their four matches on terra firma so far, but it's the goals against column of Sutton that's the interesting one here - as they've already conceded 10 on the road.

They've been in some entertaining matches so far - conceding five last weekend at Swindon and three at Newport County, and facing an Accrington team with an xG of 1.53, it could mean trouble. Sutton's xA away at 1.68 is quite alarming and for a team sitting second from bottom, it's hard to fancy them even getting a point here.

Accrington have only lost three of their last 20 league meetings with teams from London (W10 D7) and are unbeaten in four since losing 2-0 to AFC Wimbledon in December 2021.

KEY OPTA STAT: Sutton have lost 12 of their last 14 league games (W1 D1), including each of their last six league outings - it took them 16 games in 2021-22 and 12 games in 2022-23 to lose as many in League Two.

Leg 3: Back Gillingham to beat Morecambe

Gillingham in the match odds this weekend are slightly odds-on at 3/41.75 and in the 90 minute market 4/61.67, and should see Saturday as an opportunity to get back on track after two defeat in their last three.

Neil Harris's team tend to grind out a result and have five 1-0 victories already this term and got back to winning ways last weekend with victory against Harrogate.

Astonishingly for the League Two leaders, they have scored just twice at home and conceded three so it's not a shock the Under 2.5 Goals is shorter at 8/111.73 than the Over 2.5 Goals.

Four of the last eight EFL meetings between Gillingham and Morecambe have ended in a 1-1 draw, including two of the last three, so it could be another low-scorer, but Morecambe have lost each of their last three away league games, while since the start of 2021-22, only Reading (34) have lost more times on the road in the Football League than the Shrimps (33).

KEY OPTA STAT: All five of Gillingham's league wins this season have been by a 1-0 scoreline - since Neil Harris' first league game in charge of the Gills in February 2022, no side have won more games by that scoreline in the Football League (14 games).

Football... Only Bettor. Watch the latest episode now.