Football Bet of the Day: Peru to make Chile a land of gold

Peru v Paraguay
Saturday 00:30 (Live on Premier Sports)

Corinthians 2 Ponte Preta 0 in Rio yesterday. Another away side lets us down.

Happily, there are no away sides in tonight's Copa America third-place playoff.

Because Santiago's Estadio Municipal de Concepcion is neutral turf for Peru and Paraguay, as they duke it out in the match that no one wants to play and hardly anyone wants to watch.

There is just one small reason to keep an eye on tonight's proceedings: we reckon there might be a few goals.

Paraguay are much touted as a defence-first team but there is just one proud record they salvaged from this week's semi-final humiliation by Argentina: they have now scored at least once in each of their last 13 competitive outings.

For this match, Peru are down a defender because Carlos Zambrano is suspended.

At the other end of the field, the Incas have notched in 4/5 of their matches in Chile to date. For this game, striker Paolo Guerrero will be especially keen to find the net - he's just one goal short of Eduardo Vargas at the top of the tournament scoring charts.

Only Colombia - whose four games in Chile produced a total of just two goals - have shut them down completely. Ignore another 2-0 World Cup qualifying defeat to the Colombians and Peru have scored in 10/10 competitive matches since the start of 2013.

Across World Cups, European Championships and Copa Americas over the last 40 years, 18/21 third-place playoffs have delivered Over 2.5 Goals and we have high hopes for this one.

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Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.855/6 in Peru v Paraguay