Football Bet of the Day: Mid-table mayhem on Madeira

Maritimo v Nacional
Monday 20:00 (Live on Betfair Live)

Great to see an M. Gabbiadini on the score-sheet in Kevin's game yesterday. Less good to see Christian Maggio sent off just a few minutes later. Because that stopped Napoli's scoring at three.

We start our week in the far, far south-west of Europe, on Madeira.

Home of Ronaldo, the whole goalscoring thing has really caught on, unlike in the rest of Portugal.

Local boys Maritimo, running 11th in the table, have hit the back of the net in 10/11 home games against teams from outside the Portuguese Liga's runaway Big Three.

Eight of those 11 games in Funchal, including all of the most recent five, have delivered Over 2.5 Goals.

Ninth-placed Nacional are the Madeiran capital's other team. Five of the last seven derbies have brought Over 2.5 Goals.

The Black and Whites cross town for tonight's match having both scored and conceded in each of their last seven away from home. In total eight of the most recent nine have broken through Over 2.5 Goals.

Since Manuel Machado took over in 2012, almost two-thirds of their away matches have been high scorers (26/41) and it's hard to fathom the long price on another one this evening.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.285/4 in Maritimo v Nacional