The Daily Acca: Expect goals at the Bridge in this 7/2 treble

• Follow the stats in Italy

• Another high-scorer for Newcastle

• Almeria to frustrate Sevilla

Under 2.5 Goals in Lazio v Udinese @ 13/201.65

Lazio and Udinese meet in Rome this evening, and with them both being in the bottom four when it comes to Over 2.5 Goals landing, I make Unders a good bet, even at odds-on.

Italian Serie A - Overs Unders 2.5

Team	Games	2.5	%
Torino	38	24	63
Sassuolo	38	21	55
Inter	38	21	55
Napoli	38	20	53
Pisa	38	20	53
Genoa	38	20	53
Cagliari	38	19	50
Fiorentina	38	19	50
Verona	38	19	50
Bologna	38	17	45
Milan	38	17	45
Cremonese	38	17	45
Como	38	17	45
Udinese	38	17	45
Juventus	38	15	39
Atalanta	38	14	37
Roma	38	14	37
Lecce	38	14	37
Lazio	38	12	32
Parma	38	11	29

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They have both seen 16 of their 27 outings finish with two goals or fewer, and the hosts start the game having gone nearly four hours without finding the net.

The visitors have really tightened up in recent weeks too, and they are currently on a run of six matches to see this selection land.

Over 2.5 Goals in Chelsea v Newcastle @ 4/91.44

Newcastle would have been hoping for a top four finish this season, and while that won't be the case in the league table, they are currently in the top four when it comes to matches with Over 2.5 Goals.

English Premier League - Overs Unders 2.5

Team	Games	2.5	%
Chelsea	38	25	66
Man Utd	38	24	63
Man City	38	24	63
Newcastle	38	24	63
Spurs	38	24	63

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An overwhelming 74% of their Premier League fixtures have finished with at least three goals, and that includes all of their last nine in this competition.

Chelea's average is nowhere near as high, but it's worth noting that four of their last six at the Bridge in the league have seen Over 2.5 backers collect.

Under 2.5 Goals in Almeria v Sevilla @ 20/231.87

Almeria are bottom of La Liga, and almost certainly too far adrift to have any chance of escape. They are yet to win in 27 league matches, but they have at least drawn nine - with seven of those coming from 13 home outings.

They have been keeping it relatively tight in front of their own fans of late, with four clean sheets from their last six - all four of which were 0-0's.

Sevilla have won three of their last five to pull away a bit from the relegation zone, but they struggle for goals on the road, and I can see this being another 0-0 or a narrow 0-1 or 0-2 away victory.

Now read Mike Norman's preview of Chelsea v Newcastle