-
Sheffield United look to bounce back from Boro defeat
-
Strong home form has Millwall sniffing Play-Offs
-
Tight affair predicted with 'BTTS No' offering value
Let 'Em Come
Millwall's 8W 4D 2L record at the Den has fuelled their play-off push - they have the 6th best PPG record in the division, although Betfair Sportsbook's price of 9/5 for a Top 6 finish suggests the traders are yet to be convinced of their credentials. Unbeaten in 9 at home, they've already beaten Top 6 candidates Watford and Middlesbrough in South London.
Having switched from 3-5-2 to 4-2-3-1, the Millwall fans are enjoying the Lions' greater attacking threat this season, but the preservation of their excellent defensive record and sturdy structure is just as important.
How United are Blades?
For Sheffield United, this is a tricky follow up to the home defeat to Middlesbrough on Wednesday night, and a huge test of their nerve. Any sense of hangover from Sheffield United can be punished by Millwall - from set pieces, from direct attacks, or from the irrepressible Zian Flemming.
However, all season they have shown the sort of personality and quality that you expect from a promotion candidate. They are unbeaten in seven away games, with five wins in that time. One defeat against an excellent Middlesbrough team is not enough evidence to suggest any serious vulnerabilities.
Defence First
Ultimately, getting against goals seems the most advisable way to go.
Millwall's home games average just 2.14 goals, Sheffield United's away matches a paltry 1.93. Blades' approach in away games is defensive, while Gary Rowett prioritises team structure rather than overcommitting in attack. While the under 2.5 goals price of 1.67 reflects the likelihood of a low margin game, the Both Teams To Score 'No' price of 1.9 is of interest.
With Sheffield United likely to take a defensive approach, and Millwall not best suited to taking the game to their opposition, it's hard to imagine both teams generating a lot of chances.
BTTS No has landed in 18/29 (62%) of Millwall home games and Sheffield United away games combined - the price of 1.9 suggests a 52.6% chance and offers value.