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Australia First ODI Tips: Saffer power underestimated</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/ed-hawkins/">Ed Hawkins</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-09-06">06 September 2023</time></li> <li>2:30 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "South Africa v Australia First ODI Tips: Saffer power underestimated", "name": "South Africa v Australia First ODI Tips: Saffer power underestimated", "description": "Ed Hawkins says the hosts are the stronger side for Thursday's clash in Bloemfontein but his best bet is a 13/2 top-bat pick", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/cricket/south-africa-cricket/south-africa-v-australia-first-odi-tips-saffer-power-underestimated-060923-194.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/cricket/south-africa-cricket/south-africa-v-australia-first-odi-tips-saffer-power-underestimated-060923-194.html", "datePublished": "2023-09-06T09:24:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2023-09-06T21:10:00+01:00", "articleBody": "Ed Hawkins says the hosts are the stronger side for Thursday's clash in Bloemfontein but his best bet is a 13/2 top-bat pick South Africa should be favourites Pitch could be flat Klaasen a bet at [13/2] South Africa v AustraliaThursday 7 September, 12:00TV: Live on TNTSports South Africa v Australia team news After a dismal showing by their reserves against Australia in the T20 series, South Africa are at full-strength. Quinton de Kock, Heinrich Klaasen, David Miller and Kagiso Rabada return. They are heavily reliant on their front six with the bat going big because this is a XI which looks likely to require Aiden Markram as a sixth bowling option. The tail looks long by including S Gerald Coetzee. Dewald Brevis, Tristan Stubbs and Wayne Parnell are not involved aftre being left out of the World Cup squad. Anrich Nortje is in the squad but not picked. South Africa XI: De Kock, Bavuma, van der Dussen, Markram, Klaasen, Miller, Jansen, Coetzee, Maharaj, Rabada, Ngidi Australia are not at full-strength. They are without skipper Pat Cummins, Steve Smith, Glenn Maxwell and Mitchell Starc. It's the spine of their team. With Smith missing David Warner returns to open alongside Travis Head with Mitch Marsh, stand-in skip, batting at No 3. Australia XI: Warner, Head, M Marsh, Green, Inglis, Carey, Stoinis, Abbott, Agar, Hazlewood, Zampa South Africa v Australia pitch report We expect a good batting wicket in Bloemfontein. England made 342 earlier this year. Busting 300 should be considered the minimum. The par line is likely to be above that figure, though. South Africa have a slightly better run rate at 5.8 in the last two years batting first, pipping Australia by 0.2. No rain is forecast. South Africa v Australia match odds South Africa are [2.30]. Given the personnel available, Australia appear to be the wrong favourites at [1.77]. The match odds market has taken its lead from the whitewash by the Aussies in the T20 series. That's irrelevant as a formguide and the hosts rate as simple, pure value. At the least they trade as favourites batting first. That is also their strongest suit, winning seven from 12 in two years. Australia prefer to bat second, winning seven of their last nine, however. But it may not be wise to get too caught up in their trends given they're missing key players. South Africa v Australia player bets Klaaasen has five wins on the top South Africa bat market in his last 14 so the [13/2] offered by Sportsbook is a gift. On win rate versus implied probability it's an edge of a massive 22%. For Australia, Warner has the same record and is [13/5]. Back Heinrich Klaasen top SA bat @ [13/2] Bet now ", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/klaasen.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/klaasen.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/klaasen.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Ed Hawkins", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/ed_hawkins" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/klaasen.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/klaasen.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/klaasen.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/cricket/klaasen.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Heinrich Klaasen"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Klaasen is 13/2 for top bat</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=977215">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D54348538%26bsmId%3D924.375123439" href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D54348538%26bsmId%3D924.375123439">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a 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href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fcricket%2Fsouth-africa-cricket%2Fsouth-africa-v-australia-first-odi-tips-saffer-power-underestimated-060923-194.html&text=South%20Africa%20v%20Australia%20First%20ODI%20Tips%3A%20Saffer%20power%20underestimated" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>Ed Hawkins says the hosts are the stronger side for Thursday's clash in Bloemfontein but his best bet is a 13/2 top-bat pick</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.217970972">South Africa should be favourites</a></h3> </li> <li> <h3>Pitch could be flat</h3> </li> <li> <h3><a href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D54348538%26bsmId%3D924.375123439" title="Klaasen a bet at <b class=" inline_odds><span class="inline_odds__main">13/2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">7.40</span>">Klaasen a bet at <b class="inline_odds" title="7.40"><span class="inline_odds__main">13/2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">7.40</span></b></a></h3> </li> <hr><p><strong><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.217970972">South Africa v Australia</a><br>Thursday 7 September, 12:00<br>TV: Live on TNTSports</strong></p><h2>South Africa v Australia team news</h2><p>After a dismal showing by their reserves against Australia in the T20 series, South Africa are at full-strength. Quinton de Kock, Heinrich Klaasen, David Miller and Kagiso Rabada return.</p><p>They are heavily reliant on their front six with the bat going big because this is a XI which looks likely to require Aiden Markram as a sixth bowling option. The tail looks long by including S Gerald Coetzee.</p><p>Dewald Brevis, Tristan Stubbs and Wayne Parnell are not involved aftre being left out of the World Cup squad. Anrich Nortje is in the squad but not picked.</p><p><strong>South Africa XI: </strong>De Kock, Bavuma, van der Dussen, Markram, Klaasen, Miller, Jansen, Coetzee, Maharaj, Rabada, Ngidi</p><p style="font-weight: 400;">Australia are not at full-strength. They are without skipper Pat Cummins, Steve Smith, Glenn Maxwell and Mitchell Starc. It's the spine of their team.</p><p style="font-weight: 400;">With Smith missing David Warner returns to open alongside Travis Head with Mitch Marsh, stand-in skip, batting at No 3.</p><p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Australia XI:</strong> Warner, Head, M Marsh, Green, Inglis, Carey, Stoinis, Abbott, Agar, Hazlewood, Zampa</p><h2>South Africa v Australia pitch report</h2><p style="font-weight: 400;">We expect a good batting wicket in Bloemfontein. England made 342 earlier this year. Busting 300 should be considered the minimum. The par line is likely to be above that figure, though. South Africa have a slightly better run rate at 5.8 in the last two years batting first, pipping Australia by 0.2. No rain is forecast.</p><h2>South Africa v Australia match odds</h2><p style="font-weight: 400;">South Africa are <b class="inline_odds" title="5/4"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.30</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">5/4</span></b>. Given the personnel available, <strong><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.217970972">Australia appear to be the wrong favourites at <b class="inline_odds" title="4/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.77</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/5</span></b>. </a></strong>The match odds market has taken its lead from the whitewash by the Aussies in the T20 series.</p><p style="font-weight: 400;">That's irrelevant as a formguide and the hosts rate as simple, pure value. At the least they trade as favourites batting first. That is also their strongest suit, winning seven from 12 in two years.</p><p style="font-weight: 400;">Australia prefer to bat second, winning seven of their last nine, however. But it may not be wise to get too caught up in their trends given they're missing key players.</p><h2>South Africa v Australia player bets</h2><p style="font-weight: 400;">Klaaasen has five wins on the top South Africa bat market in his last 14 <strong><a href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D54348538%26bsmId%3D924.375123439">so the <b class="inline_odds" title="7.40"><span class="inline_odds__main">13/2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">7.40</span></b> offered by Sportsbook is a gift</a></strong>. On win rate versus implied probability it's an edge of a massive 22%. For Australia, Warner has the same record and is <b class="inline_odds" title="3.60"><span class="inline_odds__main">13/5</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">3.60</span></b>.</p><p style="font-weight: 400;"></p><div class="bet_promo_banner"> <p>Back Heinrich Klaasen top SA bat @ <b class="inline_odds" title="7.40"><span class="inline_odds__main">13/2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">7.40</span></b></p> <a target="_blank" href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D54348538%26bsmId%3D924.375123439" class="bet_promo_banner__link" rel="noopener">Bet now</a></div><p style="font-weight: 400;"></p></ul> </div> </div> <div class="recommended_bets betslip_goto no_banners" data-banner_cta="Join"> <h3>Recommended bets</h3> <div class="editor editor--reversed"> <p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/cricket/market/1.217970972">(2pts) Back South Africa batting first <b class="inline_odds" title="5/4"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.30</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">5/4</span></b></a><p><a href="https://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=&bid=9810&redirecturl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.betfair.com%2Fsport%2Fhome%2F%3Fmodules%3Dbetslip%26action%3DaddAffiliateSelections%26bssId%3D54348538%26bsmId%3D924.375123439">(1pts) Back Heinrich Klaasen top SA bat <b class="inline_odds" title="7.40"><span class="inline_odds__main">13/2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">7.40</span></b></a></p></p> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-sportsbook" data-qa="promo-name">Refer & Earn with Betfair</h2> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description "><header></header> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description"> <p><span>For each person you <strong>successfully refer </strong>to Betfair, we'll give you <strong>£10 in CASH</strong> when they stake £10 or more 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