Pakistan Super League Tips Matches 38, 39 and 40: United value to pip Sultans

Click here for Lahore Qalandars v Peshawar Zalmi odds
Saturday 25 April, 15.00
TV: Live on Willow/Tapmad/Ary

Lahore Qalandars v Peshawar Zalmi PSL Tips

Teams seem to be falling over themselves to keep Lahore alive in the tournament. Without even playing they moved back into the top four after a weeks-long absence. Now they only need to win their final game to ensure (barring a mathematical miracle on net run rate) they qualify for the play-offs.

The problem is that final game is against the powerhouse that is Peshawar. Zalmi have still not lost this season and they whooped Lahore by 76 runs in the previous meeting. No team can usurp them from top spot.

Perhaps that is now their greatest weakness. There is nothing on this game for Zalmi and we have seen so often in the past teams playing fast and loose with momentum once the job has been done. They will be temped to rest the likes of Babar Azam and Kusal Mendis. Lahore, presumably, will at least attempt to be fully focused and energised.

They have been unprofessional and chaotic throughout. But it would be typical of their team personality to turn it on in a big game and get the win. They should be boosted by the opportunity. Islamabad's hammering of Hyderabad has put a big net run rate gap and they surely won't be caught with two points.

Betfair Exchange's match odds market has the best price on Lahore with Sportsbook reflecting the league situation and potential for excellence among the Lahore ranks. Let's take a chance on LQ at 2.245/4.

Click here for Hyderabad Kingsmen v Rawalpindi Pindiz
Sunday 26 April, 10.30
TV: Live on Willow/Tapmad/Ary

Hyderabad Kingsmen v Rawalpindi Pindiz PSL Tips

Stop press. Pindiz have won a game. The worst side in the league broke their seven-game losing sequence by shocking Islamabad United last time out. A win in their final outing, however, can only make the table look slightly less embarrassing.

But there is a fair chance they get it. Pindiz are boosted, Hyderabad defeated. They were razed for 80 by United to effectively end their play-off chances.

But betting for this contest should focus on lower-order top-bat prices on a Karachi wicket which is getting harder and harder to bat on. A score of 20-odd can win these markets now.

For Hyderabad, Hassan Khan may fit the bill at 25s. He has a decent white-ball record and can give it a whack. Sportsbook offer 25s. For Pindiz, we like Naseem Shah at 100s. Naseem works hard on his batting. He has a List A half-century and should probably be closer to 80s.

Click here for Islamabad United v Multan Sultans
Sunday 27 April, 15.00
TV: Live on Willow/Tapmad/Ary

Islamabad United v Multan Sultans PSL Tips

This is a big game. The winner will be confirmed as second-placed finisher to Peshawar Zalmi in the ladder meaning they get two opportunities to reach the final.

Multan have won more win than Islamabad but a washout keeps them only one point apart. The suspicion that Islamabad are the more balanced team across the skilsets is confirmed by net run rate. United's dwarfs Muktans by 1.7 to 0.4.

As stated throughout the tournament, Multan are a terrific batting unit. Sahibzada Farhan and Steve Smith have been fantastic in the opening berth, often winning them games within the powerplay. But they are not as convincing with the ball.

At 9.67, no team has a worse bowling economy. Islamabad are top of that filtered league with a rate of just 7.5. That is a huge gulf. It is true that Sultans top the charts for cumulative strike rate with the bat this season but United are not far behind in third spot.

Given the run rate and the clear stats showing that United are superior, it makes sense to bet them for the win. The opportunity to be them at even money should not be missed.

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