The Hundred Tips Matches 29 and 30: Back Super Giants to beat Leeds in must-win match

Trent Rockets v Southern Brave - The Hundred Tips

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Monday 10 August, 18:30
TV: Live on Sky Sports

There is a small chance that Rockets could still be denied a route straight to the final. A heavy defeat here or a loss and a sizeable win for Sunrisers against Manchester could see them pipped on net run rate. It should mean that Rockets guard against complacency against a Brave side who were unable to recover from losing their first three.

It is six straight wins for Rockets since they lost their opening match of the season to Phoenix. Could there have been a more confounding result all season? Nope. Rockets were blown away by scoreboard pressure on a flat one and it remains the only chink in their armour.

On a home Trent Bridge surface, which does not assist the batters, they are unlikely to come under that sort of scrutiny. This is all about pace and spin. In that regard, attritional cricket is something Brave should be used to given the stodgy nature of the Southampton surface.

They are well-equipped to bowl nagging line and length with Adil Rashid, Moeen Ali, Nikhil Chaudhary and Marcus Stoinis all ideal for this kind of surface. To that end, playing under 147.5 total first-innings runs makes sense.

It's won twice out of three this term and eight in the last 11. It would be a surprise if the pitch suddenly morphed into a road. Brave's dodgy batting is also onside. Their first-innings efforts this term read: 115, 128, 129 and 135.

Rockets were brilliant in downing MI London last time out. It was a hugely popular result given the ridiculous shenanigans by the London players in their previous game against Spirit and then again against Rockets. As an side, they personify everything that is wrong with The Hundred and it would be wonderful to see them shut out of the play-off.

Manchester Super Giants v Sunrisers Leeds The Hundred Tips

Click here for Manchester Super Giants v Sunrisers Leeds odds
Tuesday 11 August 18.30
TV: Live on Sky Sports

This is a knockout game for Manchester Super Giants. If they win they can finish in the top three. Qualification will still depend on MI London's game against Phoenix, though. So long as London don't get a massive victory MSG could still progress. The most simple outcome for the hosts would be to beat Leeds and London to lose. Then all is well.

That would put MSG and Leeds on a collision course to meet in the eliminator for a final spot against Rockets. Super Giants may well be grateful that they face Leeds on a difficult Old Trafford surface. Or, rather, Leeds could be a little nervous. Their charge to second spot has been based on blowing teams away on a flat, road-like Headingley surface. They won't get that here.

This could be described as the acid test. Other parts of their gameplay will be examined. It's a game of brains, not brawn.

Manchester have perhaps recognised they need more variance in their attack and made the call to leave out Sonny Baker for their win over Brave in Southampton. Michael Bracewell, who has replaced Aiden Markram as an overseas option, added nous with the ball and greater batting depth. Paul Walter has moved up to open with Tim Seifert.

MSG still look a well-balanced side. Leeds less so as they have little firepower outside of that top four. The big clue as to how this game could go was Leeds' struggles on a tiered surface at Trent Bridge when they just couldn't accelerate. MSG are the value at even money.

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