Bangalore v Delhi: Turn to batsmen markets in evenly-matched game

Virat Kohli
Virat Kohli was top scorer last time out but is pretty short in the betting

It's too tough to call on the winner market so we'll turn to the top batsmen markets for two great bets ahead of this vital clash, says Jamie Pacheco...

"Having said I'm not sure the Capitals need Hetmyer in the side, I'm speechless at the fact the Sportsbook have made him 7/1 for this one to be Delhi top bat."

Royal Challengers Bangalore v Delhi Capitals
Monday 05 October, 15:00
Live on Sky Sports Cricket

Chahal helping to make Bangalore dangerous

There was always a suspicion that with a change of venue, there may be a change of fortunes in Bangalore's campaign this time round.

What they've done is finally worked out what their best XI is, particularly when it comes to their overseas players.

Aaron Finch is yet to fully fire but he's important as a fast-starting opener, AB de Villiers takes the gloves and adds star quality at four, Isuru Udana is an unlikely but effective pick as an opening bowler and hard-hitting lower order batsman while Adam Zampa, admittedly yet to find his best form, is a middle-overs spinner capable of both stemming the runs and taking wickets. If all four get going, they can be a very hard team to beat.

But their key man, even more so than Virat Kohli, could be none of those. Yuzvandra Chahal is the real game-changer with the ball, as evidenced by his man of the match performance last time out, his three wickets and miserly economy rate ultimately the difference between his side and the Royals, who managed just 154 rather than the 170-plus they could have got had it not been for Chahal.

Possible XI: Padikkal, Finch, Kohli, de Villiers, Dube, Singh, Udana, Sundar, Saini, Chahal, Zampa.

Bowlers letting the side down

Delhi are doing just fine.

It was obvious from the start that they have more talented and dangerous Indian batsmen in their line-up than anyone else and what's been happening is that the likes of Pant, Iyer and Shaw have taken turns in firing. Sooner or later Shikhar Dhawan will play a big one and if they fail, there's still big Marcus Stoinis to come.

Marcus Stoinis Melbourne Stars.jpg

Who hasn't really made a meaningful contribution is Shimron Hetmyer. Personally, I think they could do without him, bank on the Indian batsmen and give his overseas spot to Sandeep Lamichhane. But then again, this is a team with three wins from our and maybe they'll feel that while they're winning, they don't want to mess with a winning formula.

Possible XI: Shaw, Dhawan, Iyer, Pant, Hetmyer, Stoinis, Ashwin, Rabada, Nortje, Mishra, Patel.

Leave match winner market alone

This looks too close to call between two evenly matched sides and the fact that it practically evens the pair doesn't really help us, either.

If the wicket plays true you may just about favour Delhi because they have more explosive batsmen if it came to a shoot-out for boundary hitting.

But with no real edge, this one looks like one to avoid on the winner market.

Go with the form man for Bangalore

Virat Kohli won this heat last time out with a well-measured 72 from 53 to see his side home against the Royals. In truth, it wasn't that hard a chase, he was never under scoreboard pressure and it was a decent wicket. He' a short price at 12/5 to repeat the trick as a result but I much favour the man who was just as important ion getting them to that position in the chase.

Virtually plucked from obscurity, Devdutt Padikkal has been excellent so far, chipping in with scores of 56, 1, 54 and 63 to date, brilliant by IPL standards. Not only does that make him the team's highest scorer, it makes him the IPL's fifth-highest scorer this season.

The fact that he's 7/2 when Finch, de Villiers and Kohli are all shorter is a good example of judging players on reputation.

Aaron Finch Australia.jpg

Sure, he's pretty new to this game but T20 cricket isn't a particularly complicated game. If you're an opener middling the ball more often than not in the PowerPlay overs, you're going to get runs and do well. That's too good a price to miss out on.

Hetmyer an absurd price

Having said I'm not sure the Capitals need Hetmyer in the side, I'm speechless at the fact the Sportsbook have made him 7/1 for this one to be Delhi top bat. The fact that they've included Ajinkya Rahane in the market at just 7/2 suggests that like me, they suspect Hetmyer may not play with Rahane getting his place.

If that's the case, then no harm done. You just get your stake back. But if he plays and better still, the Capitals decide to promote him in a bid to give him a chance to find some confidence and form, then that's going to look like a ridiculous price. Again, too good to turn down. This is one of the bright young things of T20 cricket and one of the game's great dashers so certainly worth a punt.

JAMIE'S 2020 IPL P&L

Staked: 10pts
Returned: 4pts
P&L:-6 pt

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