Sunrisers Hyderabad are a decent price to record their first win of the tournament on Saturday, says Matt Harris, but his betting radar has landed on a batsman for the hosts...
"Sunrisers’ bowling can be over reliant on Rashid Khan but it should be more effective moving forward with Jason Holder on board."
Mumbai Indians v Sunrisers Hyderabad
Saturday April 17th, 15:00 BST
Live on Sky Sports Cricket
Boult holds nerve to seal first Mumbai win
Batting collapses in modest run chases have been a theme in some of the early matches at IPL 14. Having lost on the opening day to RCB, Mumbai claimed their first win from what was a losing position against the Knight Riders. Chasing 153, KKR were cruising at 84/1 just after the halfway point but ultimately fell ten runs short.
The fact that the defending champions got over the line shows that the bowling unit is in good shape. Trent Boult delivered the crucial final over, claiming two wickets, while Krunal Pandya went for just 13 from his two overs. Jasprit Bumrah was also economical but it was Rahul Chahar who picked up the Player of the Match award with two wickets.
Batting is less cohesive although there were contributions from Rohit Sharma and Suryakumar Yadav against KKR. Mumbai will now look for better support from the likes of Ishan Kishan, Quinton de Kock and Kieron Pollard.
Sunrisers fans ask, where's Williamson?
SRH have suffered two defeats from their opening two matches and may need to reconsider their overseas selections ahead of Saturday's game. Many are keen for Kane Williamson to come into the starting XI with coach Trevor Bayliss previously stating that the Kiwi needed a little extra time to regain match fitness.
Jonny Bairstow, who is so prolific for England at the top of the order, made runs in the first match but he looks wasted at number four. Against Mumbai, Williamson may well come in but if the New Zealand skipper remains unavailable, Bairstow should ideally be switched with Manish Pandey and come in at number three.
Sunrisers' bowling can be over reliant on Rashid Khan but it should be more effective moving forward with Jason Holder on board to support Bhuvneshwar Kumar with the new ball.
Familiar surroundings in Chennai
Both teams will be playing their third match of the tournament at the M.A. Chidambaram Stadium in Chennai. It's not exactly been a productive surface for either side with just one win between them in four combined games.
The average first innings score across those four fixtures is 161 and that's a considerable lift from 2019's mark of 144. Three of the games have gone to the side batting first. Once again, the weather is expected to be hot, humid and dry to allow for a full 40 overs if required.
The result betting contains no surprises with Mumbai Indians clear at 1.75/7 and Sunrisers Hyderabad some way behind at 2.3611/8. SRH are winless and Mumbai are expected to cruise through the regular season but the defending champions haven't exactly been convincing in their opening two matches.
Sunrisers look more effective with Jason Holder in the side but they do need to sort their top order. Kane Williamson's return, whenever it happens, can add the solidity and some insurance that the power hitters need. Based on the theory that Sunrisers have to respond and not get cut adrift at the bottom of the table, I'm taking a tentative punt on the outsiders.
I've enjoyed watching Ishan Kishan bat across a number of tournaments and pleased to see him included in India's limited overs squad. The left hander can be dangerous to back in top batsman markets as he subscribes to the Glenn Maxwell approach of trying to hit every ball out of the stadium, regardless of length, movement and pace.
After knocks of 28 and 1, I feel Kishan is due and I'm happy to take him as Mumbai's top scorer on Saturday. He's currently listed at an excellent 5/1 on the sportsbook and should be similar on the exchange when the market fills up. Rohit Sharma should start as favourite at around 2.56/4 while other options will include Quinton De Kock at 3.02/1 and Suryakumar Yadav at 5.04/1
If you're looking at Sunrisers' top batsman market, you should wait until the team sheets are in. Williamson's possible inclusion looks to be a 50/50 call at the time of writing and it would be no surprise if he starts IPL 14 with a major contribution.
If New Zealand's skipper remains in the dugout, Jonny Bairstow will want to prove a point in the knowledge that this could be his last game for a while. I'm sticking with my previous two tips but, depending on selection, Williamson at 7/2 or Bairstow at 16/5 could be good picks for Hyderabad's top batsman.
I feel Kishan is due and I'm happy to take him as Mumbai's top scorer on Saturday.
Matt Harris' IPL P/L