India v Netherlands World Cup Tips: How to bet the mismatch

• India may resist temptation to rest players

• Bangalore pitch flat for home team

• Gill could bully Dutch

India v Netherlands
Saturday 11 November, 08:30
TV: Live on Sky Sports

India v Netherlands World Cup team news

Do India play fast and loose with momentum and rest key players, such as Jasprit Bumrah? The warnings are there from the T20 leagues when group winners take their eye off the ball. Keep pushing hard is surely the only way to play.

Probable XI: Rohit, Gill, Kohli, Shreyas, Rahul, Suryakumar, Jadeja, Kuldeep, Shami, Bumrah, Siraj

A previously energetic Netherlands have looked dulled by a heavy schedule as you would expect from a team which so rarely gets to play at the top level. Afghanistan and then England have beaten them easily. Vikram Singh might come in for Max O'Dowd, who has been poor, as opener.

Possible XI: Singh, Barresi, Ackermann, Engelbrecht, Edwards, de Leede, Nidamanuru, van der Merwe, van Beek, Dutt, van Meekeren

India v Netherlands World Cup pitch report

Despite England's 156 against Sri Lanka and Sri Lanka's 171 versus New Zealand, Bengaluru is a road. We could see a massive par line for India batting first. Getting with India for death runs could be the smartest. Add 120, 130 and 140 in the last ten at decent numbers.

India v Netherlands World Cup match odds

India are 1.051/20 with the Dutch at 19.018/1. There will be a few who take the latter as trade option, looking to pinch four or five points but it would require India to drop early wickets batting first.

Margin betting with Sportsbook is an option. The hosts are 6/42.50 to win by ten wicket or 90+ runs.

India v Netherlands World Cup player bets

The player bets will be the most popular way to play. There are couple of pointers for man of the match for a kick-off. The Dutch have struggled against top-quality spin so Ravi Jadeja at 12/113.00 and Kuldeep Yadav at the same price have appeal.

Rohit Sharma has been boosted to 11/43.75. That is a bet on two-year win rate but we're conscious that we're following the money somewhat as he's made an in-tournament turnaround in form. Shubman Gill also provides an edge at 16/54.20. Virat Kohli is 11/43.75 but he wins at a rate closer to 3/14.00.

Gill, accused of being a flat track bully, may be an overs play on runs at a cheap-looking 36.5 at 10/111.91. In 18 innings against teams outside fellow Big Sixers he has busted the mark 12 times.

Get more Cricket World cup tips here.