Pretoria Capitals v Paarl Royals SAT20 Tips: Capitals need to rediscover rhythm

Ed Hawkins
07 February 2023
2:30 min read

Buttler hasn't been at his most destructive so far

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Ed Hawkins says the hosts can return to form in Centurion on Tuesday and he picks out at 18/1 top-bat wager

Pretoria Capitals v Paarl Royals
Tuesday 7 February, 15:30
TV: Live on Sky Sports

Team news

Pretoria Capitals produced their worst performance of the tournament in their previous outing. A changed XI were thrashed by Durban. Their backers will hope they are not playing fast and loose with energy and commitment. It can be hard to turn it back on.

They conceded 254 and one has to question whether a team capable of such profligacy in the field can really win a franchise league. Still, it has come late in the day and they only need to win one from two in the play-offs to make the final.

Possible XI: Salt, Mendis, De Bruyn, Rossouw, Dadswell, Neesham, Muthusamy, Parnell, Bosch, Nortje, Little

Paarl Royals should qualify so long as they avoid a heavy defeat. They've not been quite the power-packed batting line-up some may have expected with Jos Buttler and Jason Roy slightly underwhelming in terms of strike rate.

Possible XI: Roy, Buttler, Lubbe, Vilas, Miller, Jones, van Buuren, Phehlukwayo, Fortuin, Ngidi, Shamsi

Pitch report

There is a heavy bias for the chaser at Centurion and one would be mad to go against it. Durban's 254 in first-innings was an outlier, of course, with 179 usually a winning score. Pretoria busted 216 in the first game. It's an overs play in the low 160s.

How to play

For the second-successove match Pretoria are priced as if the market knows they couldn't give a damn. They are as big as 1.9310/11. That makes no sense with the respective form of the two sides. If Pretoria chase, then they should win and we don't expect the market to change much on the flip.

Back Pretoria batting second @

1.9

Tops value

Buttler is 11/4 for top Paarl bat with Sportsbook. We note the 18/1 offered for Pretoria's Shane Dadswell. Dadswell has batted at No 5 this term so it is a price which should be taken.

Back S Dadswell top Capitals bat

18/1

Ed Hawkins P-L

2023: +2.12
2022:+16.79
2021: +29.41pts
2020: +5.91pts
2019: +37.25pts
2018: +23.53pts
2017: +12pts
2016: +18.1pts
2015: +38pts
2014: +31.5pts
2013: +25pt

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