Netherlands v England First ODI Tips: How big can England go?

Ed Hawkins
16 June 2022
3:00 min read

Buttler is favourite to dominate with the bat

Join

View market

Twitter

Facebook

View the Betslip

Ed Hawkins tries to work out many England could rattle up against the Dutch in Amstelveen on Friday and finds the bets to match

"As for the hosts, they scored at 5.8 and 5.3 in recording totals of 288 and 240 (off 45 overs in a rain-reduced match)"

(0.5pts) Back both sides to score 250 or more 1.9110/11.

Netherlands v England
Friday 17 June, 10.00
TV: live on Sky Sports

Dutch not at full strength

The Dutch lost three-zip to a depleted West Indies team earlier this month. Yet they were not embarrassed in any of the matches. That might be about to change.

Unfortunately, they are not at their strongest because of players contracted to play for counties in the Blast. They have also lost Ryan ten Doeschate, Stephan Myburgh and Ben Cooper to retirement. Cooper's brother, Tom, does return, however. Cooper has been a decent performer in the Big Bash and he should add much-needed solidity to the middle order.

Fred Klaassen, the Kent pacer, is available and the Netherlands will rely on him, Vivian Kingma and Logan van Beek to try to keep England quiet. Shane Snater, the Essex medium-pacer, is another option. He could make his third ODI appearance.

Possible XI: Singh, O'Dowd, Musa, T Cooper, De Leede, Edwards, van Beek, Seelar, Dutt, Kingma, Klaasen

England must go big

If England needed any motivation for this, frankly, meaningless mismatch then perhaps their Test counterparts have just provided it. It's a not a bad strategy to try to match those extraordinary run rates seen after tea on day five at Trent Bridge.

The world champions are always looking to evolve so what is the next step? Well, apart from going faster and higher with the bat, they have picked an interesting pace attack. Five of their six pace options are all left-armers: Reece Topley, David Payne, Sam Curran, David Willey and Luke Wood. As the only right-arm quick in the squad, Durham's Brydon Carse may well be a shoo-in.

Otherwise we're left trying to work out the batting order. Jason Roy and Phil Salt look the most likely opening combo, although we note that Salt could be used as a finisher with Dawid Malan going up top. Jos Buttler should be the main man at No 4.

Possible XI: Salt, Roy, Malan, Livingstone, Buttler, Moeen, Morgan, S Curran, Rashid, Willey, Carse

Pitch report

The VRA surface at Amstelveen is very decent for batting. So this is all about how many England can get if they bat first. As a pointer, West indies' top run rate in the three games was 6.1. England's last three matches against Ireland read: 6.58-6.64-6.24

On those numbers England should be looking at 330 as an absolute minimum. We suspect their runs par line will be much, much higher. In-play there may be option for 400 or more at around the 3.505/2 mark. The runs lines are here.

As for the hosts, they scored at 5.8 and 5.3 in recording totals of 288 and 240 (off 45 overs in a rain-reduced match). That lends support for the 10/11 on offer from Sportsbook that both teams score 250 or more. Bet the Sportsbook markets here.

Pitch report

England are 1.061/18 and the Netherlands 15.50. At such a whopping number the Dutch could be considered a trade option. The reality is, though, if they bowl first that price will quickly get stratospheric.

If they were to bat first and go extremely hard in the powerplay, a couple of points may swing in our favour but it has the feel of a trade for the sake of it. Bet the match odds here.

England really should win at a canter. So other options include the 1/3 from Sportsbook that they win and hit the most fours and sixes. Bet the Sportsbook markets here.

Pitch report

Sportsbook have boosted Dutch opener Max O'Dowd to 4/1 for honours. Buttler gets the special treatment with an inflation to 13/5.

Surely England's openers will prove popular, though. Roy, something of a flat-track bully it has to be said, catches the eye at 13/5 and 10/3 for top England bat and top match bat respectively. He should really be jolly ahead of Buttler on both considering he should get more opportunity. Bet the Sportsbook markets here.