Islamabad United v Peshawar Zalmi
Sunday 12 March, 09:00
TV: Live on Sky Sports
United may need a whopping win if they are to hold off Sultans' challenge for second position. It won't matter what happens if Sultans lose their final match against Quetta on Saturday.
Last time out they produced a terrible effort against Lahore, emphasising the gulf between them and the best perhaps. Azam Khan is a major doubt with a hand injury so Rahmanullah Gurbaz may take the gloves and Sohaib Maqsood could come into the middle order.
Possible XI: Hales, Gurbaz, Munro, Shadab, Maqsood, Asif Ali, Faheem, Mubasir, Wasim, Hasan, Farooqi
Zalmi's batting has been terrific this term led by Babar Azam who may finally be learning to be more reckless. But their bowling and plans in the field are non-existent.
In two consecutive games they have failed to defend 240 and 242 and there appears to be little they can do to make them more economical in terms of squad changes.
Possible XI: Ayub, Haris, Azam, Powell, Kohler-Cadmore, Haseebullah, Omarzai, Wahab, Usman Qadir, Arshad, Mujeeb
Before Saturday's match, in nine games at Rawalpindi, more than 200 has been breached six times. Both teams for 180 or more (8/11 with Sportsbook), however, has only copped in four of those. The par line is set to be in the late 190s with United conceding an average of 9.3 per over and Zalmi 10.3.
How to play
Islamabad are 1.845/6 and Zalmi 2.1011/10. As we said, neither team is reliable with the ball so it should be relatively simple to predict where the odds go.
If United bat first expect them to come into 1.501/2 with a big score. Zalmi should flip the odds if they bat first. We would expect United to chase 200-210.
How to play
Is this time for Alex Hales to go big and return to form? He averages 61 against these very bowlers. And the wicket is flat. Sportsbook have boosted him to 10/3 for top United bat. You can also go over his runs at 22.5 at 4/5. Babar has been boosted to 11/5 for Zalmi.