England v India
Thursday 14 July, 13:00
TV: live on Sky Sports
All change on the top England bat market. Sportsbook had Jos Buttler at favourite for game one and boosted him to 3/1, reckoning he would open. He batted at No 5 and won anyway. Ben Stokes, who was chalked up at 7s, batted at No 4 and was out for a duck.
And as for Jonny Bairstow at 9/2? Sometimes this game has no mercy. With the top order blown away, the opener incorrectly priced had the win in his pocket before also falling cheaply.
As someone recently said 'thems the breaks'. It is a useful reminder as to how tough such a market can be. There is absolutely no relationship whatsoever to a player priced up in a bookmakers' office and him getting a good one early on. Or, in England's case at The Oval on Tuesday, about five of them getting good ones early on.
This is where the win rates come in. They act as guides for punters to know how reliable these batters or bowlers are. take Jason Roy for example. Great reputation, a great hitter but a dreadful one to follow for top England bat with one win in 14.
There has been a reset of Sportsbook's odds. Buttler is now out to 11/2, Stokes in to 4s and Bairstow in to 16/5. Only Bairstow is value at the odds, which give an edge of 6.7%. Bet the Sportsbook markets here.
Top England bat wins/matches
S Curran 1/8
Don't Bum rush
Jasprit Bumrah was devastating in game one. Surprising, then, that his six-wicket display was only the second time he had won the top India bowler market in his last 13 attempts. He is 5/2 for a repeat with Sportsbook and it is hard to reckon that screams value.
We do like Yuz Chahal's chances. He is the best spinner on show by some distance. Sportsbook go 11/4. His return rate is decent but he doesn't win outright as often as we'd like.
With the bat, Virat Kohli is value at 7/2. We don't expect him to play because of a groin problem as discussed in the match preview.
Rohit Sharma also stands out at a boosted 16/5. That also gives us an edge on win rate, although we're wary of getting involved with a back-to-back winner.
Rohit's form tends to hold. Likewise Shikhar Dhawan. Dhawan is not a bet at 7/2 but we note the 4/5 that he goes over 30.5 runs.
One fancy option is pairing Rohit and Bairstow in an old-fashioned double. A £10 stake would return £176.40. Bet the Sportsbook markets here.
Top India bat wins/matches
Top India bowler wins/matches
Chahal 5 3t/24
Thakur 2 t/14
Bumrah 2 2t/13
Shami 3 2t/13
In-play strategies for England v India on Cricket...Only Bettor