Batting first the edge
Little to separate the two on data
Ibrahim reliable for Afghans
Bangladesh v Afghanistan
Sunday 3 September, 10:30
TV: Live on Sky Sports
Bangladesh v Afghanistan team news
Bangladesh had an opportunity to lay down a marker in their first game against a depleted Sri Lanka. They didn't take it and produced a characteristic dissapointing performance. They could manage only 164.
Najmul Shanto stood alone with 89 but, in truth it's only him, Shakib-al-Hasan and Mushfiqur Rahim that they can rely on with the bat.
Mustafizur, Shoriful and Taskin have caught the eye for a while with the ball but it's a team which continues to frustrate.
Probable XI: Naim, Hasan, Shanto, Shakib, Hridoy, Mushfiqur, Mehedy Hasan Miraz, Mehedi, Taskin, Shoriful, Mustafizur
Afghanistan lost three-zip to Pakistan in preparation for the Asia Cup. They were well beaten in the first and third matches but should have won the second, failing to defend 300.
They're far from a one-man team with Rashid Khan the poster boy. Faz Farooqi and Mujeeb are excellent pace and spin options while they're showing good progress with the bat. Rahmanullah's Gurbaz's 151 in game two in that series should be a breakthrough innings.
Ibrahim Zadran is their best batter, though, and they need him to fire with a powderpuff middle-order.
Probable XI: Gurbaz, Hassan, Zadran, Hasmatullah, Shahidullah, Naib, Nabi, Rashid, Mujeeb, Fareed, Farooqi
Bangladesh v Afghanistan pitch report
There's a 55% toss bias for the team batting first under lights at the Gadaffi Stadium. The pitch has been a road in T20 and since international cricket's return there have been three ODI played there. Two of those produced first-dig scores of 313 and 348. Bangladesh are slightly more reliable with the bat than Afghanistan, averaging 32 per wicket in the last two years to 30. Any par line in the 270s-280s for them would look like a mistake and might be a buy.
Bangladesh v Afghanistan match odds
There's not much to choose between these two with Bangladesh installed as 1.9010/11 favourites on the exchange. Afghanistan are 2.0811/10. A choice affair is about right.
On bowling numbers (to go with the data above), Afghanistan have a small edge, averaging 27 runs per wicket compared to Bangladesh's 26.
It could be then that an outside factor - the toss - splits the teams. A flat one and the slight toss bias makes the side batting first favourite.
Bangladesh v Afghanistan player bets
Zadran has five wins in 16 ODI knocks in the last two years (he's actually only played 17) and the 21-year-old gets our support to top score. With Gurbaz's form noticeable we're reckoning that Sportsbook might give us 11/43.70.