Caribbean Premier League Day 5 Tips: Can Tridents stop Narine?

Sunil Narine
Narine has been in fine form
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Ed Hawkins has all the data, team news and trends for the action from the T20 tournament on Sunday from Tarouba...

"Trinbago are the only side with a 100% record, having chalked up wins over Guyana Amazon Warriors and Jamaica Tallawahs"

Trinbago Knight Riders v Barbados Tridents
Sunday 23 August 15:00
TV: live on Betfair Video

Trinbago going well

Trinbago are the only side with a 100% record, having chalked up wins over Guyana Amazon Warriors and Jamaica Tallawahs. But they have been indebted to Sunil Narine who has been beating teams on his own - he has consecutive fifties, three wickets and a mean economy.

They continue to look the best balanced side in the tournament and swapping Sikandar Raza for pacer Ali Khan looks a good move

Possible XI Simmons, Narine, Munro, Daren Bravo, Pollard, Seifert, Dwayne Bravo, Khan, Seales, Ahmed

Tridents look to hit back

Tridents are smarting after their loss to St Lucia Zouks. Rain had interrupted their innings with the score on 131 for seven with 11 balls left.

It meant the Zouks were given five overs and ten wickets to chase 47, denying Tridents the chase to defend a proper total with their collection of impressive spinners.

Still, Tridents seem reluctant to use Rashid Khan and Hayden Walsh in tandem. Walsh, last year's wicket-taker, wasn't deemed good enough to bowl against Zouks.

Possible XI Charles, Hope, Anderson, Mayers, Holder, Carter, Nurse, Reifer, Santner, Rashid, Walsh

Last year head-to-heads

BT 160-6 (Charles 35, Pierre 2-25) defended TKR 148 (Reifer 2-13)
BT 135-3 (Charles 55, Deyal 1-17) chased TKR 134-8 (Simmons 61, Walsh 2-34)
BT 192-5 (Charles 58, Pierre 2-34) defended 129 (DM Bravo 28, Walsh 5-19)

Trend busters

There have now been 16 CPL matches played at the Brian Lara Stadium in Tarouba. The first-innings scores (1-2 denote match won by side batting first or second, most recent first): 118-1/176-1/137-2/135-2/127-2/158-2/144-2/153-1/171-1/160-1/147-2/165-1/135-2/159-2/168-2/159-1. Day Four busted all trends - Guyana defending 118 and the Zouks posting the highest score so far.

Keep eye on weather

Trinbago are due a win over Tridents and they will argue those three losses last season came when they had key players carrying niggles or missing altogether - Sunil Narine and Dwayne Bravo for example.

The market has them skinny favourites at [1.70] with Tridents [2.40]. If Tridents can get their spinners going in tandem defending 150 or so then they are bang in the game. They are a solid trade to favourites.

Weather is important. Thunderstorms are forecast all morning. It could well be we have a shortened game. This would help the chaser.

Pollard underrated

Johnson Charles' excellent record against TKS last season will tempt many to take the 23/10 with Sportsbook he top scores for Tridents.

Rashid is 13/8 for top Tridents bowler but there's no evidence he should be as short on win rate.

Kieron Pollard is 11/2. That's a smidge of value on win rates over the last two years. But he's close to the line and this might be our last chance to bet him.

Guyana Amazon Warriors v St Lucia Zouks
Sunday 23 August 19:15
TV: live on Betfair Video

Record breakers

At the halfway point in their clash against Tallawahs, Guyana were staring their third defeat in their last four in CPL - an extraordinary sequence for a team so dominant. But somehow they defended 118 (the lowest bat-first win total in CPL), recording 80 dot balls and keeping the Tallawah's non-boundary strike rate to under 35. Both unprecedented.

Possible XI King, Hemraj, Hetmyer, Taylor, Pooran, Rutherford, Paul, Green, Naveen, Nedd, Tahir

Baffling Zouks

Zouks are also breaking new ground. They have won two in a row after a surprise defeat of patriots last time. This was only their second back-to-back success since July 2016. Their first innings total of 176 was also 19 runs more than expected average.

Most surprising of all was the fact they managed to defend. At the start of this tournament they had a win percentage of 21 batting first.

Possible XI Cornwall, Fletcher, Deyal, Zadran, Chase, Nabi, Sammy, Zafar, Kuggeleijn, Williams, McCoy

Last year head-to-heads

GAW 162-2 (King 81*) chased Zouks 161-7 (Tahir 2-23)
GAW 155-9 (Paul 38, McCoy 4-41) defended Zouks 142-6 (Cornwall 36, Shepherd 2-18)

Zouks run to end

The thunderstorms on day five should have cleared in time for this one, giving punters an opportunity to get with Warriors at a smidge under the [1.60] mark. They are [1.58]. It's skinny but it is arguable they should be shorter.

This is a test for the Zouks, who might have been a little fortunate so far. We don't expect their bating to fare well against the classy spin threat posed by Chris Green and Imran Tahir. Zouks are Jamaica Light, an inferior power version and they should come up short.

Tops value

Mark Deyal has a strike rate of 150 in T20, boasts Zouks' highests trike rate ever and he batted at No 3 last time. But Sportsbook make him 20/1. He is actually a batsman rather than some lower-order chancer.

Another big price is Keemo Paul for top Warriors bat at 30/1. We have him much shorter on our database.

Ed Hawkins,

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