Caribbean Premier League Day 3 Tips: Walsh could zap Zouks again

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Ed Hawkins previews the matches on day three from Tarouba on Thursday as the action from the T20 league hots up...

"Just remember that when the Zouks are defending they have a lower than 20% win rate so don't let a trade run"

Barbados Tridents v St Lucia Zouks
Thursday 20 August 15.00
TV: live on Betfair Video

Tridents off to a flyer

Barbados Tridents got their title defence off to the best possible start with a come-from-behind win against the Patriots. They looked beaten at eight for three and then 69 for five. But brutal hitting from Kyle Mayers, Jason Holder and Rashid Khan propelled them to 153.

Rashid then combined with Mitchell Santner to tie Patriots in knots. Santner picked up the match gong for an economy rate of 4.5. Both took two wickets.

Possible XI Charles, Hope, Anderson, Mayers, Holder, Carter, Reifer, Santner, Nurse, Rashid, Walsh

Typical Zouks

The Zouks produced a typically topsy-turvy performance against Jamaica in their opener, the first defeat of many. They looked like holding on for a win until their lack of nous and guts came to the fore again.

Batting first they looked on course for something approaching 175 but fell away to post 158 with Roston Chase scoring a fifty. Their bowlers then reduced Jamaica to 13 for two in the fifth before they lost control. Kesrick Williams, Mr Reliable, claimed top bowler honours.

Possible XI Fletcher, Cornwall, Deyal, Chase, Zadran, Nabi, Sammy, Kuggeleijn, Williams, McCoy, Khan

Last year head-to-heads

Tridents 141-6 (Charles 47) defended Zouks 117 (Walsh 4-26)
Tridents 172-6 (Greaves 57) defended Zouks 101 (Holder 2-34)

Pitch report

There have now been 12 CPL matches played at the Brian Lara Stadium in Tarouba. The first-innings scores (1-2 denote match won by side batting first or second, most recent first): 127-2/158-2/144-2/153-1/171-1/160-1/147-2/165-1/135-2/159-2/168-2/159-1. We should start to see the wicket slow up now, although there is no discernible toss bias to get stuck into.

Zouks terrible at defending

Tridents are [1.60] for success. We're surprised they're not shorter than that. Zouks are [2.60]. And for all the gloom surrounding a franchise which is consistently poor, they at least get a foothold in matches. A trade would have come off in their first match. Just remember that when they're defending they have a lower than 20% win rate so don't let it run. On the flip side, Tridents could well push [1.80]. If they do that chasing, that could be the top trade.

Tops value



Hayden Walsh destroyed Zouks on his own in the previous meeting. But a blank in game one - and just two overs - hits his top bowler chances. He is 3/1 with Sportsbook but had a 63% win rate last term. He 's probably worth risking again.

Kesrick Williams is boosted to 5/2 by Sportsbook for top Zouks bowler. He won, of course, last time so a back-to-back win might be beyond him but the odds are wrong.

Trinbago Knight Riders v Jamaica Tallawahs
Thursday 20 August 22.30
TV: live on Betfair Video

TKR title bid up and running

Trinbago got their title bid off to a perfect start by downing their chief rivals, Guyana Amazon Warriors, in the opener. They will hope they laid down a marker.

Key was Sunil Narine, who missed a chunk of last year through injury. He hit a fifty and took two wickets to claim man of the match. They now need Dwayne Bravo to show a similar resurgence. The all-rounder was expensive with the ball.

Possible XI Simmons, Narine, Munro, Daren Bravo, Pollard, Seifert, Dwayne Bravo, Raza, Seales, Ahmed

Muscle men

Tallawahs underperformed last season due to off-the-field issues. They could be solved now Ramnaresh Sarwan, the coach, has left.

There is no more powerful batting side in the tournament than the Tallawahs, who can hit it further than any other. Andre Russell, Rovman Powell, Glenn Phillips, Carlos Brathwaite and Asif Ali only know one way. This muscle paid off against the Zouks.

Possible XI Walton, Phillips, Kirton, Powell, Asif, Russell, Brathwaite, Permaul, Lamichhane, Mujeeb, Thomas.

Last year head-to-heads



TKR 267-2 (Munro 96*) defended JT 226-5 (Phillips 62)
TKR 191-4 (Webster 66*) defended JT 169-6

Pitch report

There have now been 12 CPL matches played at the Brian Lara Stadium in Tarouba. The first-innings scores (1-2 denote match won by side batting first or second, most recent first): 127-2/158-2/144-2/153-1/171-1/160-1/147-2/165-1/135-2/159-2/168-2/159-1.

Brains beats brawn

Trinbago are [1.70] to make it two from two. Tallawahs are [2.28]. The power from JT will convince many to part with their cash but brains almost always beats brawn.

On a wicket which should be starting to slow up, spin will be key and Tallawah's all-rounders could be tied down by legspin here. TKR won't fear their hitters and they could even pick an extra spinner.

Tops value

Fawad Ahmed's leggies should wreak havoc against an XI with only two left-handers. Returning at a rate of 39%, Fawad is standout value at Sportsbook's 10/3.

Kieron Pollard is 11/2 for top TKR bat - that's a 15.4% probability. We rate him at 19%. Narine top scored for the first time in two years so don't expect another.

***
Caribbean Premier League Preview Part I on Cricket...Only Bettor

Caribbean Premier League Preview Part II on Cricket...Only Bettor

Ed Hawkins P-L

2020: -23.25
2019: +37.25pts
2018: +23.53pts
2017: +12pts
2016: +18.1pts
2015: +38pts
2014: +31.5pts
2013: +25pts
Based only on available prices. Does not include back-to-lay in-running match advice or commission rate. Figures 2013-2016 on 1pt level stakes. New points system (0.5pt-5) introduced for 2017. Includes Hawk-Eye stats column p-l

Ed Hawkins,

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