Caribbean Premier League Day 13 Tips: Huge chance for Jamaica

Chris Lynn
Lynn has been a disaster
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Ed Hawkins previews the action from Tarouba on Thursday with the Tallwahs set for a giant leap to the play-offs...

"On Wednesday Trinbago smashed them. Chasing 175, Patriots showed zero interest in the target. Only one batter in their top seven struck at a rate more than 110"

Jamaica Tallawahs v St Kitts & Nevis Patriots
Thursday 3 September 15.00
TV: live on Betfair Video

Tallawahs poised

Tallawahs have a golden chance to put one foot in the play-offs against the hopeless Patriots. A win would take them to eight points meaning that sixth-placed Tridents would have to win both their remaining matches, hope Tallawahs lose their last two and have a superior run rate.

Jamaica have struggled for consistency, failing to put two good performances back-to-back. Last time out they were well beaten by Trinbago, conceding a whopping 184. Andre Russell led a spitited display with the bat.

Possible XI Walton, Phillips, Blackwood, Powell, Bonner, Russell, Asif Ali, Brathwaite, Mujeeb, Lamichhane, Edwards

Pathetic Patriots

Patriots have finally been put out of their misery after seven defeats and one win. Their 'hopes' of a play-off berth are now mathematically impossible although they binned the calculator about four games ago.

At least they are consistent. Stinker after stinker they have racked up. On Wednesday Trinbago smashed them. Chasing 175, they showed zero interest in the target. Only one batter in their top seven struck at a rate more than 110. Chris Lynn has been a disaster and Evin Lewis totally underwhelming.

Possible XI Lewis, Lynn, Da Silva, Dunk, Ramdin, Drakes, Joseph, Emrit, Jan, Jaggesar, Cottrell.

Head-to-heads

2020 JT 147-6 (Phillips 79*, Emrit 3-32) defended SKP 110 (Lewis 21, Powell 21, Bratwaite 3-11)
2019 SKP 176-6 (Russell 1-17) defended JT 156 (Phillips 87)
SKP 242-6 (Lewis 53) chased JT 2414 (Walton 73)
Overall SKP 6 JT 6

Pitch report

There have now been 22 CPL matches played at the Brian Lara Stadium in Tarouba. The first-innings scores (1-2 denote match won by side batting first or second, most recent first):109-2/174-1/184-1/92-2/144-1/185-1/118-1/176-1/137-2/135-2/127-2/158-2/144-2/153-1/171-1/160-1/147-2/165-1/135-2/159-2/168-2/159-1. That is an average score of 149. The pitch is tricky to be confident about. Trinbago found batting easy on Wednesday, the Zouks did not. And that has been a pattern thoughout. One team struggles, another shines.

Easy for Tallawahs?

Tallawahs are [1.58] with Patriots [2.62]. Of course it's mighty short about JT who are a franchise incapable of consistency and have significant problems playing spin. But then they are up against a Patriots side who checked out a long time ago, are demoralised and have a limited spin department.

Post-lockdown cricket has, however, been anything but predictable (as discussed in Cricket...Only Bettor below) and although we expect Jamaica to claim a big win in context of qualification, we just don't play at such odds. A fewer showers could disrupt the rhythm of the game but the full quota of overs should be met.

Emrit underrated

Patriots skip Rayad Emrit has had a shocker as leader but as top bowler he should be favourite. Sportsbook go 11/4.

JT opener Glenn Phillips is due another top on win rate before the group stage is out. He is 11/4 with Sportsbook

Barbados Tridents v Guyana Amazon Warriors
Thursday 3 September 22.30
TV: live on Betfair Video

Terrible Tridents

Tridents have suffered a disastrous three-game sequence, losing to Trinbago, Zouks and Guyana. They should have won the first two and those results will go down as some of the more inexplicable in T20 history.

Against Trinbago they failed to defend 148 from a position of 108 for seven in the 18th. Against Zouks they couldn't chase 92. They didn't even get close to making it a contest against Guyana, being bowled out for 92.

They now have to win both their remaining games and rely on Jamaica slipping up to have a chance to qualify.

Possible XI Charles, Greaves, Mayer, Holder, Hope, Carter, Santner, Nurse, Reifer, Rashid, Walsh

Warriors are back

Guyana have won three on the spin to end concerns that they had lost their mojo. Against Tridents on Tuesday they dismissed three of the top four for ducks and had them in the mire at 28 for seven.

Naveen-ul-Haq and Kevin Sinclair, an unheralded bowling pair, continued their fine form with four and two wickets respectively. They don't just rely on Imran Tahir and Chris Green.

With the bat, Brandon King found much-needed form to continue his excellent record against the Tridents.
Possible XI King, Sinclair, Hetmyer, Pooran, Taylor, Shepherd, Paul, Green, Naveen, Magram, Tahir.

Head-to-heads



2020 GAW 93-2 (King 51*) chased BT 92 (Santner 36, Naveen 4-14)
2019 BT 171-6 defended GAW 144-9 (King 43, Reifer 4-34)
GAW 218-3 (King 132*, Walsh 2-42)) defended BT 188-8 (Shepherd 3-50)
GAW 81-2 (King 51*) chased BT 137 (Green 4-14)
GAW 180-4 (Hemraj 63) defended BT 133 (Nurse 43, Shepherd 4-13)
Overall Guyana 11 Tridents 5

Warriors look big

Guyana are [1.66]. We are surprised they are not sub [1.60] given the two teams' respective form and, of course, the thrashing that Warriors handed out to Tridents on Tuesday.

We might get a contest this time but with Warriors key players now finding confidence and rhythm with the bat they are a much more dangerous proposition. Last time out against Zouks, Shimron Hetmyer returned to form. With King and Nic Pooran all in the runs this week they are thriving.

Tops value

Mitchell Santner topped in the previous meeting for Tridents. Sportsbook's 45-1 about a repeat looks big. Justin Greaves got a duck from the opening berth in that game. Does he get another chance? The 20/1 is a wrong price.

***

Caribbean Premier League chaos on Cricket...Only Bettor

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