Caribbean Premier League Day 12 Tips: Patriots last chance to survive

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ED Hawkins previews the action on Wednesday from Tarouba with the Patriots needing a win to survive...

"Normally we’d be keen on a trade at chunky odds but it is a struggle to work out the justification other than: a wager to increase interest"

Trinbago Knight Riders v St Kitts & Nevis Patriots
Wednesday 2 September 15:00
TV: live on Betfair Video

Unstoppable Trinbago

Trinbago made it seven wins out of seven with a comprehensive defeat of Jamiaca Tallawahs on Tuesday. Any flicker of hope that the runaway leaders might be approaching a period of instability was extinguished as soon as the team's were announced - Sunil Narine and Dwayne Bravo both returned to the XI.

Trinbago are now guarding against complacency and the unpredictable. Only a bad day at the office can deny them the title and they will be well aware of Guyana's unbeaten streak to the final last year before their one poor performance cost them dearly.

Possible XI Simmons, Narine, Munro, DM Bravo, Seifert, Pollard, DJ Bravo, Pierre, Hosein, Seales, Fawad.

Pathetic Patriots

The Patriots remain bottom of the pile, although Tridents are giving them a run for their money for the most insipid franchise. It's six losses in seven and there are no signs they are capable of turning the tide.

Against Guyana they were thumped by seven wickets, suffering from Nic Pooran's brilliant century. At least Evin Lewis played in that game, battling through a groin injury. But with qualification requiring three wins from three and big uptick in run rate it won't be a surprise if Lewis sits out.

Anyone who recalls the Mumbai Indians documentary will know that Lewis gets very low when he has a niggle and, quite rightly, is not one to risk future contracts for a lost cause.

Possible XI Lynn, Powell, Da Silva, Dunk, Ramdin, Tanvir, Joseph, Emrit, Sodhi, Khan, Jaggesar

Head-to-heads


2019 TKR 128-4 (Simmons 51) chased SKP 125-7
SKP 216-7 tied TKR 216-4 (Simmons 90)
TKR 152-7 (Pollard 47, Emrit 3-39) defended SKP (Lewis 36)
Overall TKR 10 SKP 4

Average score beyond Patriots

There have now been 20 CPL matches played at the Brian Lara Stadium in Tarouba. The first-innings scores (1-2 denote match won by side batting first or second, most recent first):184-1/92-2/144-1/185-1/118-1/176-1/137-2/135-2/127-2/158-2/144-2/153-1/171-1/160-1/147-2/165-1/135-2/159-2/168-2/159-1.

Tuesday's matches saw Trinbago and Tridents not only appear to be batting on a different surface but a different sport. TKR posted 184 against Jamaica and Tridents were blown away for 92. The first-innings average is 150. If Patriots bat first it would be a surprise if they were to bust that sort of mark given the strength of the TKR bowling and their awful batting. But the lines are likely to reflect that with slim pickings.

Easy for Trinbago

As you would expect, Trinbago are hot favourites for this one. There is even doubt that it will be a contest with the leaders priced at [1.41]. Patriots are [3.30].

The weather forecast is good with no rain expected. Patriots would be hoping for some outside influence. Normally we'd be keen on a trade at chunky odds but it is a struggle to work out the justification other than: a wager to increase interest.

Tops value

Could this be Lendl Simmons' time to top bat? He's had a poor season so fra but good form on the head-to-heads could give him the boost he needs. He is 7/2.

Lewis has been boosted to 4/1 but we think Sportsbook have also seen the Mumbai Indians documentary.

St Lucia Zouks v Guyana Amazon Warriors
Wednesday 2 September 22.30
TV: live on Betfair Video


Respect Zouks

Zouks are still going strong. Stronger than ever, in fact. Somehow they avoided only their third defeat of the season with a stunning come-from-behind success against Barbados Tridents.

Their first-innings total of 92 looked like a return to the bad old days. But inexplicably Zouks won. And reasonably comfortably, too, by a five-run margin. They didn't even bowl out Tridents.

So the Zouks continue to confound. Few analysts or form studiers can work out how they are doing it. Individual players like Roston Chase and Scott Kuggeleijn are producing efforts that the statisticians are befuddled by.

Possible XI Cornwall, Fletcher, Boucher, Zadran, Nabi, Sammy, Glen, Kuggeleijn, Williams, Zahir.

Warriors beginning to fire

Are Warriors back to their best? It's two wins in two for last year's runners-up and with the Tridents and Patriots in disarray they look assured of reaching the knockouts.

First they solved their batting woes with a solid chase against Patriots - Nic Pooran rediscovering his hitting ability - then they showed all their bowling brilliance which, frankly, was never in doubt. They rolled Tridents for 92 with Kevin Sinclair and Naveen-ul-Haq proving that they have depth.

Possible XI King, Hemraj, Hetmyer, Pooran, Taylor, Shepherd, Paul, Sinclair, Green, Naveen, Tahir.

Head-to-heads

2020 Zouks 144-7 (Chase 66, Tahir 3-22) defended GAW 134-8 (pooran 68, Kuggeleign 3-24)
2019 GAW 162-2 (King 81*) chased Zouks 161-7 (Tahir 2-23)
GAW 155-9 (Paul 38, McCoy 4-41) defended Zouks 142-6 (Cornwall 36, Shepherd 2-18)Overall TKR 11 GAW 9
Overall GAW 9 Zouks 5

Tough task for Guyana



Zouks beat Guyana earlier in the tournament. It was a victory which forced everyone to sit up and take notice.
Here were the previously hopeless Zouks defending a average score against the most powerful team historically. Important because Zouks were renowned as hopeless defending a target and Guyana were the chasing kings.

It showed that Zouks are smart and efficient in the field. Never before had we been able to say that. So we are not shy of the [2.26]. We actually expected a bit more room in Guyana's price of [1.73]. A trade on Daren Sammy's men is sensible. This will be a real test of Guyana's resurgence.

Tops value

Leniko Boucher has come into the Zouks side to take the No 3 slot. Sportsbook make him 6/1. That's a rick. He top scored once in three from that position last year. An emerging batsman, he should be shorter on ability and batting position.

***

Caribbean Premier League chaos on Cricket...Only Bettor

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