Caribbean Premier League Day 11 Tips: Rain could wash away team batting first

Kieron Pollard
Pollard was sensational
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Ed Hawkins previews the T20 tournament action on Tuesday as teams return to the Brian Lara Stadium in Tarouba...

"Rain looks certain to disrupt the match. It could be a five-over slog for both outfits. At best the chaser is going to have a reduced target"

Jamaica Tallawahs v Trinbago Knight Riders
Tuesday 1 September 15:00
TV: live on Betfair Video

Tallawahs well placed

Tallawahs have the edge in the play-off race between them and the Tridents. They have a game in hand and are two points to the good. Now would be the perfect time to inflict Trinbago's first defeat of the season.

They could do with Andre Russell back, though. The influential all-rounder has missed the last two matches. Against the Patriots they coped well, though that may have more to do with the pathetic opposition.

Possible XI Phillips, Bonner, Blackwood, Powell, Asif Ali, Brathwaite, Walton, Permaul, Mujeeb, Lamichhane, Edwards.

Where's Narine?

Trinbago keep winning but there is concern that Sunil Narine is still injured and Dwayne Bravo sat out the win over the Tridents. This is a potential chink in their armour when it comes to the business end.

Against Tridents they looked certain to record their first loss. They used seven bowlers and lacked their normal control, conceding 148. Tridents then bossed the chase. But somehow Trinbago recovered from 36 for four in the eighth and 108 for seven in the 18th to win. How? Kieron Pollard produced a memorable knock of 72 off 28.

Possible XI Simmons, Webster, Munro, DM Bravo, T Seifert, K Pollard, A Hosein, S Raza, K Pierre, Seales, Fawad.


2020 TKR 136-3 (Narine 53, Mujeeb 1-13) chased 135-8 JT (Phillips 58, Seales 2-21)
2019 TKR 267-2 (Munro 96*) defended JT 226-5 (Phillips 62)
TKR 191-4 (Webster 66*) defended JT 169-6Overall Tridents 10 Zouks 5
Overall TKR 8 JT 9

Fairer track

There have now been 18 CPL matches played at the Brian Lara Stadium in Tarouba. The first-innings scores (1-2 denote match won by side batting first or second, most recent first): 144-1/185-1/118-1/176-1/137-2/135-2/127-2/158-2/144-2/153-1/171-1/160-1/147-2/165-1/135-2/159-2/168-2/159-1. That is an average of 152. Unlike Queen's Park Oval, there is no toss bias. It is true the last four were won by the side batting first. But the previous four were won by the chaser. This wicket seems fairer.

Be weather aware

Tallawahs will be keeping their fingers crossed that Narine does not return. They have struggled against spin all season and with the Tarouba wicket having had time to recover, the planets could come into line for them to cause an upset. Still, we're not enamoured by the [2.20]. We were expecting [2.40] at least for this one.

That means Trinbago only have to have a little wobble for us to try to book an in-play wager at around the [1.70] mark. The biggest factor looks likely to be weather. Rain looks certain to disrupt the match. It could be a five-over slog for both outfits. At best the chaser is going to have a reduced target and that gives them a big advantage. If we can get [1.90] on either we'll probably play.

Tops value

Nkrumah Bonner is 11/2 for top Tallawahs bat. He opened last time. But he has back-to-back wins from the middle order this term.

Pollard is 6s for top TKR bat. On win rate it's chunky but Sportsbook are aware back-to-back wins are rare indeed.

Guyana Amazon Warriors v Barbados Tridents
Tuesday 1 September 22:30
TV: live on Betfair Video

Guyana hit back

What was all the fuss about, eh? Guyana, the once dominant force in the islands, roared back with a fine win against the Patriots on Sunday/ let's gloss over the fact the Patriots have lost all but one match and were actually in the box seat at th innings break.

Nicolas Pooran, rated by many analysts as the next big thing, smashed a century to banish doubts Guyana had lost their batting mojo. A disastrous season with the willow could now be kickstarted and propel them to their rightful position in the play-offs.

Opener Chandrapul Hemraj has lost his spot to all-rounder Kevin Sinclair, a surprise move considering Sinclair has never scored a first-class or List A century.

Possible XI King, Sinclair, Hetmyer, Pooran, Taylor, Paul, Green, Shepherd, Naveen, Tahir, Nedd

Tridents shamed

Tridents should be sat with their feet up by now, readying themselves for the play-offs. Instead they have suffered two of the most shocking and embarrassing T20 defeats in history back-to-back.

The holders disgraced themselves against Trinbago. Sure, Kieron Pollard had what might be termed a 'worldy' but failing to defend 149 when the opposition are 108 for seven with 17 balls left is inexplicable.

You ain't seen nothing yet, thought Tridents. Against the Zouks the game was won at the break with the season's surprise package bowled out for 92. Yet they fell five runs short, managing only 87 with three wickets in hand.

Possible XI Hope, Charles, Mayer, Holder, Anderson, Nurse, Rashid Khan, Reifer, Young, Walsh, Bishop.

Last year head-to-heads

BT 171-6 defended GAW 144-9 (King 43, Reifer 4-34)
GAW 218-3 (King 132*, Walsh 2-42)) defended BT 188-8 (Shepherd 3-50)
GAW 81-2 (King 51*) chased BT 137 (Green 4-14)
GAW 180-4 (Hemraj 63) defended BT 133 (Nurse 43, Shepherd 4-13)
Overall Guyana 10 Tridents 5

Warriors underrated

Guyana are [1.84] and Tridents [2.22] Why on earth are Guyana so chunky here? Well, the weather forecast is poor and we could well have an overs-reduced affair.

But even then it is hard to trust Tridents given their performances - and confidence levels - against Zouks and Trinbago. By contrast, Guyana are buzzing again. They will expect to build on their superiors head-to-head and take revenge for last year's final defeat.

Tops value

Brandon King, last year's top tournament runscorer, is having a miserable time with 60 runs in seven matches. Could the sight of the Tridents stir the loins? Look at his record in the head-to-heads. He is 4/1 for top bat, boosted by Sportsbook from 7/2. Pooran is 5/1.

Ed Hawkins,

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