West Indies v England Third T20 Tips: Another thrill from the chase

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West Indies v England
Thursday 14 November 20:00
TV: live on TNT Sports

West Indies v England second T20 team news

West Indies have made changes as they look to recover from 2-0 down. Andre Russell is out with an ankle injury. In come Alzarri Joseph and all-rounder Shamar Springer.

The absence of Russell will give them an opportunity to bolster their batting by recalling Shai Hope. It's been found wanting now in both games. Another options is Shimron Hetmyer. Joseph has served a suspension for disgraceful behaviour in the ODI when he walked off the field after not getting the field he wanted.

Springer may get a chance instead of Terence Hinds who had a debut to forget. Sharmar Joseph has been rested.

Possible West Indies XI: King, Lewis, Pooran, Hope, Powell, Rutherford, Shepherd, Motie, Forde, Akeal, Joseph

England are likely to be unchanged for St Lucia, dependant on whether Jofra Archer is risked or not. If not, Archer's place could go to John Turner with Reece Topley struggling with a jarred knee.

It is just as well they are doing so well as options look increasingly limited with Topley's worry. Jafer Chohan and Jordan Cox have both left the squad to manage workloads. With Cox gone they don't have a reserve batter. if England manage another win Adil Rashid could be rested in time with Rehan Ahmed on the trip.

Possible England XI: Salt, Jacks, Buttler, Bethell, Livingstone, S Curran, Mousley, J Overton, Archer/Turner, Rashid, Saqib

West Indies v England Third T20 pitch report

There has been no day-night match at the Daren Sammy Stadium in all t20 since 2019. In the 2010-19 span, there was a bias for the chaser. Of the 17 games played 12 were won by the team batting second. So just as Will Jacks pointed out in Bridgetown that "we all know the toss is crucial" the same may be true here. Twelve of the last 27 first-innings have busted 180. One of those was England's eight-wicket win chasing 180 in the World Cup against West Indies. England are more reliable to bust a mid 180s par line. No rain is currently forecast. There has been heavy rain in the build-up, though and the outfield has required overtime work to get itt ready. it might be slower in the outfield than normal.

West Indies v England Third T20 match prediction

England are steady at the 1.855/6 region for this one with West Indies out to 2.166/5. England's dominance, or rather West indies' insipid performances with the bat, have been a surprise.

Could the hosts rediscover their mojo at this venue? Only if the toss goes their way. Believing there's as big a gulf between the teams as the odds suggest is hard. But so can be backing a marginal outsider at 2-0 down.

So the only sensible course of action is to wait for the flip and go for the team batting second. We really don't expect the match odds to move after it's called.

For those betting in-play, the strategy is pretty simple. Wait for potentially greater odds on the chaser at the break. More than 210 may be required to make it easier for the defender but we could see a big one taken down.

West Indies v England Third T20 player bets

Shai Hope comes back into this XI it is fair to say that he is underrated by Sportsbook at 4/15.00 for a top bat win. Hope has a win rate of 29% in the last two years and after a couple of blanks in Sri Lanka he is approaching the hot zone. A century in the ODI series against England suggests he is tuned in to their attack. If he doesn't play it's money back as a non-runner. There's not much doing elsewhere, suffice to say that Jacob Bethell is not a 9/110.00 chance on ability. Phil Salt whacked an unbeaten 87 at the venue in the World Cup head-to-head. Sportsbook go 10/34.33 that he top scores.

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