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The top 10 Super Bowl special bets for Seahawks vs Patriots
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Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots
Sunday 8 February, 23:30 kick-off
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara
Live on 5, Sky Sports Mix, NFL Game Pass & Sky Sports NFL
Moneyline: Seahawks 4/9 | Patriots 7/4
Handicap: Seahawks -4.5
Points total: +45.5
So here it is. A long, hard NFL season ends with the Super Bowl showpiece in Santa Clara, and not only is it a huge game but also a huge betting heat with a huge array of special markets on touchdowns, tackles, player props and game incidents.
After scouring them all here's my pick of the best, some nailed-on fancies, a couple of more value plays and even the odd bigger priced standout to consider.
Let's dive right in...
Seattle's dynamic running back is the favourite for combined yards and rightly so after two monster games in the play-offs. The Pats are good against the run and there's always a chance 7/42.75 shot Jaxon Smith-Njigba goes off again, but Walker's so talented and can gain yards a number of ways, putting his big boys pants on and charging between the tackles and also dropping defenders with ankle-snapping cuts in the open field. He's also got great hands catching passes out of the backfield and will be used plenty on checkdowns with Sam Darnold under pressure.
Back Kenneth Walker most combined rushing and receiving yards in the game
Drake Maye has been sacked 15 times in the play-offs, just four off Joe Burrow's record. Outside of the Broncos this Seattle front seven is the last unit you'd want to face given New England's offensive line struggles. The Pats will make history by starting two rookies on the O-Line in a Super Bowl, both on the left side with left tackle Will Campbell and left guard Jared Wilson sure to be targeted by the Seahawks' two veteran QB hunters.
Back DeMarcus Lawrence and Leonard Williams to combined for 1.75 sacks
This game could be dominated by the defensive fronts as both sides looked stacked on that front, so while Drake Maye will be under duress I can also see Sam Darnold getting a bit of a sweat on as the Patriots come charging for him as well. He's not got the wheels Maye has so he's less likely to escape and more likely to take the odd sack to protect himself.
Back 7+ total sacks in the game
He's been a lot better recently but Sam Darnold had been prone to a turnover - he's the first QB since Eli Manning in 2007 to lead the league in turnovers and still make the Super Bowl. I don't expect Darnold to regress that for but in Christian Gonzalez he's facing an elite cornerback who sealed the game with a late pick in Denver.
He'll likey spend a lot of time covering Jaxon Smith-Njigba and if Darnold tries to force things then Gonzalez will have a few opportunities to cash in.
Back a Christian Gonzalez interception
We all know the defences are tough in this one, especially Seattle's NFL-leading scoring defence - they're also better in the red zone than the Pats so expect them to stand firm - and for Mike Vrabel to be happy to take the points on offer rather than rolling the dice. Visiting kickers have an 88% success rate at Levi's Stadium this season.
Back Patriots to make 3+ field goals
The rookie led the Patriots in rushing yards but hardly played in Denver as his blocking's not good enough. With two weeks to play though you better believe Josh McDaniels is scheming ways to get this electric runner the ball in spaces he can exploit. Drake Maye will also be under constant pressure so will need a checkdown option and with his speed Henderson could get this yardage total done in just a couple of plays.
Back Henderson 30+ combined rushing and receiving yards
Both defences are capable of generating turnvoers via fumbles and interceptions, and in Rashid Shaheed and Marcus Jones we've got two of the best returners in the league on display here so hopes are high.
Shaheed returned a kick-off to the house in the play-offs, and had both a punt AND kick return score in the regular season, while Jones had two punt return touchdowns in the regular season and has also had two pick sixes - one in the play-offs - just for good measure. Jones is 18/119.00 to score a touchdown and almost made the list.
It's 13/27.50 for a kick-off or a punt to be returned for a touchdown (there's never been a punt return TD in the Super Bowl, yet!)
Back a defensive/special teams touchdown
I looked at this one for far too long, thinking maybe Josh McDaniels will dial up a long bomb for rookie Kyle Williams, who's had a 72 yarder this season, or if Rashid Shaheed will get another 51-yarder like he already has in the play-offs. But you're catching lightning in a bottle with those types of plays, which may come off but it'll all likely be on one or two throws.
With JSN you've got volume, he'll have plenty of volume, and you get depth, a 42 yarder in the play-offs and 63 yarder in the regular season, and with that combo you might as well play the odds. At some point Sam Darnold's just going to just ask JSN to go long, right?
Back Jaxon Smith-Njigba to have longest reception
Given their records it's no surprise these two teams can dominate the ball, but I think the Patriots can edge this one just through the type of offence they have, which will likely be more run the ball and dink and dunk - while Seattle have more quick-strike weapons. New England were sixth in the NFL for average drive time, holding the ball on average 15 seconds longer than Seattle down in 22nd.
Back Patriots to have more time of possession
OK, so this one isn't one many will want to cheer on as it sounds dull, but I love great defence personally and one scoreless quarter doesn't have to mean a dull game.
Yes, the last Patriots Super Bowl win in 2019 was a 13-3 slugfest against the Rams that featured a 0-0 first quarter, but many forget that the greatest Super Bowl comeback of all time - New England 28-3 recovery against Atlanta - also came after the first quarter ended 0-0.
There's been 10 scoreless first quarters and the Pats have played in five of those! That also includes the first Super Bowl meeting between these two back in 2015, meaning five scoreless quarters in the last 11 Super Bowls. Given how good these two defences have been then any 15-minute stanza could easily end up without any points.
Back any quarter to end scoreless