NFL

NFL Week 16 Tips: Christmas cheer for Bills & Niners

  • Paul Higham
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 2 min read
Christian McCaffrey
Christian McCaffrey can have a big say for the 49ers against the Commanders

With games all across the Christmas weekend Paul Higham has his picks for Week 16 of the NFL, where teams will be hoping Santa Claus will be bringing them play-off places.


The NFL has come up trumps this festive season with games scheduled all across the holiday period for you to tuck into as you digest the very last of those pigs in blankets.

We've got a bumper schedule on Christmas Eve but also three big games coming your way on Christmas Day for you to watch to spare you from having to watch another Mrs Brown's Boys Christmas special.

Let's take a look at the action..

Jacksonville Jaguars (6-8) @ New York Jets (7-7)

Match Odds: 21/20 | 4/5
Spread: Jets -1.5
Points O/U: 37.5

We start on Thursday with the resurgent Jags - who have won three out of four, and three really good victories too culminating in that incredible overtime defeat of Dallas last week, while the Jets are coming apart a bit with three losses on the trot.

The penny's dropped a bit for Trevor Lawrence who has 11 TDs and one pick over the last four against some good defences so at the prices we'll ride the hot hand here.

Bet: Jaguars to beat the Jets

21/20


Christmas Eve

Philadelphia Eagles (13-1) @ Dallas Cowboys (10-4)

Match Odds: 9/5 | 4/9
Spread: Cowboys -4.5
Points O/U: 47.5

The Eagles can clinch the only NFC bye with a win at their hated rivals on Christmas Eve, yet the NFL's best team are underdogs against a side that allowed over 500 yards in a loss to the Jaguars last week.

It's all because Philly's star QB Jalen Hurts will miss the game with a shoulder injury - which isn't serious but the Eagles would not want their MVP candidate making it was in what's sure to be another hard-hitting divisional encounter.

With Gardner Minshew starting, we'll get to see if if this team will fall apart without Hurts doing everything from QB, but this Eagles defence is good enough to at least keep them close.

Bet: Eagles +4.5 on the handicap

9/10

Washington Commanders (7-6-1) @ San Francisco 49ers (10-4)

Match Odds: 5/2 | 3/10
Spread: 49ers -7
Points O/U: 37.5

The Commanders saw their play-off hopes suffer a huge blow with defeat to the Giants and now have to go coast-to-coast to face the red-hot Niners who've ripped off seven wins in a row - and have also had extra time to prepare.

San Francisco have scored 33 points or more in three of their last four home games, and with the talent Washington have they could at least give them a game, but it will likely not be enough.

Bet: 49ers to win & over 39.5pts

7/4

Seattle Seahawks (7-7) @ Kansas City Chiefs (11-3)

Match Odds: 10/3 | 2/9
Spread: Chiefs -10
Points O/U: 48.5

Digging out an overtime win in Houston was just a reminder to the Chiefs that they can't ake any team lightly even as they chase top seed in the AFC. They're back at home now though after three road games with a juicy match-up against a stuttering Seahawks with just one win in five.

Seattle can score points though and are a desperate team with play-off hopes slipping away, so we'll take this one to be entertaining

Bet: Chiefs to win & over 48.5pts

13/10

Buffalo Bills (11-3) @ Chicago Bears (3-11)

Match Odds: 1/4 | 3/1
Spread: Bills -8.5
Points O/U: 40.5

Justin Fields looks incredible at times but the Bears just can't win a game after dropping their seventh straight with a tight five-point defeat against the Eagles last week.

They showed they can at least trouble the big boys, but Buffalo can clinch the division with a win here so that should be motivation enough to put this one away early.

Bet: Bills -8.5 on the handicap

9/10

Christmas Day

Green Bay Packers (6-8) @ Miami Dolphins (8-6)

Match Odds: 8/5 | 8/15
Spread: Dolphins -3.5
Points O/U: 49.5

The Packers just won't go quietly and you can tell Aaron Rodgers fancies this unexpected run at the play-offs - and what better way than in front of a huge audience on Christmas Day to prove he's still one of the best in the business.

Miami have lost three on the spin so could be vulnerable, but those three games were all on the road against teams better than the Packers defensively, so Tua Tagovailo and his speedy receivers

Bet: Dolphins to beat Packers by 1-13pts

7/5

Denver Broncos (4-10) @ Los Angeles Rams (4-10)

Match Odds: 8/13 |11/8
Spread: Broncos -3
Points O/U: 36.5

Russell Wilson facing the Super Bowl champs would've looked good on paper when the NFL drew up the Christmas Day schedule, but this could now be a tough watch between two struggling teams.

The low total speaks volumes about the two offences, but Denver got their run game going recently and their defence remains elite - this is a tough spot for the fallen champs.

Bet: Broncos to win & under 36.5pts

5/2

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-8) @ Arizonda Cardinals (4-10)

Match Odds: 2/7 | 14/5
Spread: Bucs -7.5
Points O/U: 39.5

This game also hasn't aged well with the injury-hit Cardinals among the worst team in the league while Tom Brady has endured one of his toughest seasons in the NFL.

The Bucs are whopping favourites but nothing has been coming easy for them after three defeats in four - although they did play really well in the first half last week before Brady went turnover crazy in the second half against the Bengals.

The Cards have lost foru in a row though, have no confidence and no starting QB after Kyler Murray's injury so it looks a simple ehough task for Tampa Bat to inche closer to a play-offs spot.

Bet: Bucs to win by 1-13pts

7/5

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