Saturday Horse Racing Tips: Katie Midwinter's best bets including 16/1 Newbury fancy

• Katie Midwinter has fancies at five tracks this Saturday

• Imposing gelding is bet of the day in Newbury handicap

• Likeable mare can dance to victory at Warwick

• For the latest Betfair Racing odds click here

• Bet £10 get £10 on racing multiples every weekend up to Cheltenham

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Warwick, 13:15 - Back Hollygrove Cha Cha @ 10/34.33

Six-year-old mare Hollygrove Cha Cha makes the most appeal at the prices ahead of warm favourite Jubilee Alpha in this Listed contest. Back over hurdles having been chasing this term, the daughter of Affinsea officially has 10lb to find with the mare ahead of her in the market, but a rating of 129 may not be a true reflection on her level of ability considering some of the form she has shown.

This term, Hollygrove Cha Cha has danced her way to victory over talented rival Bluey in testing conditions at Exeter, following an eye-catching third to formidable opponents Resplendent Grey and Handstands in a Listed Carlisle event on chasing debut.

The Jamie Snowden-trained mare won a Grade Two over hurdles twelve months ago, beating subsequent Grade One runner-up That'll Do Moss, now rated 136, on the back of a defeat to Jubilee Alpha. She needs to reverse form but has an extra year of experience in her favour over this longer trip in softer ground conditions, which puts her in with a solid chance.

There should be more to come from Hollygrove Cha Cha who has amassed plenty of valuable experience during her career so far, particularly against rivals rated 153 and 155. She represents an in-form yard under Gavin Sheehan, and should be tough to beat.

Newbury, 13:35 - Back Kapal Layar E/W @ 15/28.50

Making his return following wind surgery and equipped with a tongue-tie and cheekpieces for the first time, Kapal Layar could be worth keeping the faith in for Olly Murphy. He hasn't been able to make any impression in either of his latest two runs, but is back from a 50-day break from an unchanged mark, and could be capable of a resurgence in form.

Under champion jockey Sean Bowen, stepping up to this distance for the first time, the seven-year-old warrants each-way consideration. He shaped with promise earlier in his career, including when third to Blue Carpet and Jet To Vegas in a Carlisle bumper, before landing his maiden at Chepstow and following up at Perth, and could be open to even further progression. 

This is only his eighth career start and things haven't panned out favourably for him in recent months. He remains open to improvement and could prove better than his current mark of 124 in future.

Naas, 14:50 - Back Chosen Diamond E/W @ 22/123.00

Ten-year-old gelding Chosen Diamond should be suited by the testing conditions at Naas as he bids to return to the form shown at the beginning of last year, when he won a Fairyhouse handicap from a 2lb lower mark before chasing home Dunboyne at Navan from a rating of 101. 

Both of those performances were in ground described as heavy, and, although he has been unable to replicate that level in recent outings, he could be worth keeping onside considering he has been suited by conditions in the past and is on a workable mark. 

Chosen Diamond has winning form over fences at the track but is more experienced over hurdles, and should be discounted for owner-trainer Edward Cawley in the hands of Sarah Kavanagh.

Lingfield, 14:55 - Back Mr Cool E/W @ 7/18.00

Charlie Johnston-trained gelding Mr Cool is now 4lb lower than his last winning mark and 7lb lower than when second to Coul Angel at Kempton on his return following a break in October. He hasn't been in quite the same form since but steps up to 7f here from a lenient rating with cheekpieces, which were first applied in his latest run, on once again.

Down 2lb for a sixth-placed effort at Kempton last month, the son of Kodiac is on a mark from which he can be competitive. He makes the most appeal at the weights under Cieren Fallon, and should be able to make his presence felt if he can return to the form he has shown previously.

Warwick, 15:00 - Back Dream Shadow E/W @ 15/28.50

Course-and-distance winner Dream Shadow has plenty to find on ratings in this Grade Two contest, but has only made three starts over hurdles to date, shaping well, winning twice, beaten only by a now 133-rated mare in La Conquiere who has been narrowly denied twice at this level.  She has won both of her latest two runs by a combined distance of 12-lengths, including beating subsequent winners Twistthenightaway and now 123-rated Betty's Daisy at this venue.

Trained by Fergal O'Brien, the point winner beat her stablemate Strong Run to land a first success under Rules in a Uttoxeter bumper, before placing third to now 125-rated Kingston Queen, current favourite for this race, at Market Rasen, in a race previously won by Dysart Enos, and, earlier, by Panic Attack in 2020. She also placed second to Charisma Cat in a Listed Sandown bumper previously won by Luccia, again shaping with promise.

The step up in trip seems to have brought further improvement from her, and, with proven course form, she should be able to hold her own, representing value at odds of 15/28.50 under Johnny Burke.

Newbury, 15:20 - Back All In You @ 13/27.50

All In You was a real eye-catcher in defeat when narrowly denied by Dance And Glance at Ascot in December, just beating the reopposing Let It Rain for second.

He reversed form with the winner on that occasion in a subsequent Sandown appearance where he made swift headway from the rear of the field under a patient James Bowen ride, winning comfortably enough by a length-and-a-half.

A 5lb rise for his latest success may not be enough to deter his progress, and he remains open to plenty of further improvement as a lightly raced six-year-old who has amassed valuable experience already during his career.

The turn of foot he showed at Ascot was impressive, as was his success when last seen, and the Warren Greatrex-trained contender should be able to prove better than his current mark of 127.

Newbury, 15:20 - Back Wreckless Eric E/W @ 16/117.00

Wreckless Eric hasn't been seen to best effect since an excellent second to Go Dante in last year's Imperial Cup from a 1lb higher mark, but it could be too early to give up on the Jonjo and AJ O'Neill-trained runner, who is only a six-year-old making his twelfth start.

He's on a workable mark should he be able to return to some form, and has proven he can compete in tough, big field handicaps previously.

A leap of faith is required, but Wreckless Eric is too big a price to ignore at 16/117.00 considering his level of performance behind the likes of Mirabad, Secret Squirrel and the aforementioned Go Dante last term, and he could spring a surprise if returning to form under Kielan Woods.

Lingfield, 15:30 - Back Amazonian Dream @ SP

Equipped with first-time cheekpieces, Amazonian Dream is on a mark from which he can strike, 14lb below his last winning rating on the back of a promising third at Southwell.

The seven-year-old has been able to hold his own in deeper waters over the past year, placing from a mark of 87 in a higher class Windsor race, before achieving a fourth-placed finish in the series final at the same venue from a mark of 80. 

Currently rated 75, Amazonian Dream should be able to pose a threat under Lewis Edmunds for an in-form Rod Millman yard who have saddled two winners from their last three runners.

Newbury, 15:55 - Back U Cant Be Serious @ 9/110.00

U Cant Be Serious impressed as a hurdler last term but shaped as though there'd be plenty of improvement to come from him for Joe Tizzard.

A big strapping chestnut, the son of Notnowcato comfortably won his maiden hurdle by nine-and-a-half-lengths at Taunton, before finishing third twice at Ascot and Newbury respectively, and then made a successful start over fences when a well backed 4/15.00 winner at Exeter. He doubled up to beat subsequent winner Donnacha at the same venue, narrowly beating the runner-up who is now rated 8lb higher on a mark of 136 following a great win at Cheltenham over Jagwar.

The seven-year-old wasn't able to run his race at Kempton over Christmas, however, failing to get into a rhythm at all, eventually finishing down the field, well beaten. He has been off the bridle early on in races previously, with Freddie Gingell forced to offer reminders aboard at Exeter earlier in the term too.

U Cant Be Serious appears a work in progress, still learning with experience and developing. He remains open to further improvement and clearly possesses plenty of raw ability, putting him in with solid claims from a rating of 130 under Sam Twiston-Davies.

Abu Dhabi, 16:00 - Back Folk Festival @ SP

Course-and-distance winner Folk Festival returned to winning ways with an impressive handicap win at Meydan last month. He steps up into Listed company here, but remains open to further improvement, unexposed, and should be capable of putting in a creditable effort.

The son of Blue Point has enjoyed an exceptionally consistent career so far, bar a disappointing effort here in Listed company in December, but may have needed the run on the back of a 274-day break and can shape better this time around. Otherwise, he has form figures of 11231, only narrowly denied in his other two defeats by Magnum Opus and Silver Sword respectively.

In his latest run, Folk Festival was able to make swift headway from the rear of the field, finishing strongly to prevail and shaping as though he had further improvement to come under regular rider Bernardo Pinheiro. He can prove good enough to compete at this level and warrants consideration for trained Salem bin Ghadayer.

Katie's Saturday Racing Multi

Back Hollygrove Cha Cha (13.15 Warwick) & U Cant Be Serious (15.55 Newbury) 

Betfair is offering Bet £10 Get £10 on Racing Multis each weekend ahead of the Festival, and the multi that makes the most appeal this Saturday is an across the card double at Warwick and Newbury including Hollygrove Cha Cha and U Cant Be Serious. Hollygrove Cha Cha represents value against the favourite considering some of the form she has shown during her career so far. She is a talented mare and should be able to pose a dangerous threat in this contest. U Cant Be Serious should be forgiven for his latest run at Kempton. He remains open to further improvement beyond his current rating of 130 and represents an in-form yard as he bids to resume his excellent run of form over fences.

Now read Sam Turner's latest tips here!