Antepost Racing Tips: Alan Dudman has a 10/1 Midlands National fancy

• Midlands Grand National four places on the Sportsbook

• A Mullins favourite poor value according to Alan Dudman

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Conditions against the ante-post favourite?

Two days of rain this week at Uttoxeter will help, but usually the Midlands Grand National is associated with testing ground. As I write on Tuesday, good to soft could be hopeful for the weekend.

The Sportsbook are up, surrounded by the Cheltenham races, and Betfair are four places for Uttoxeter this weekend.

J'Arrive de L'Est heads the market at 3/14.00, a price that offers absolutely no value whatsoever, and the problem is backing Emmet Mullins in the UK is that his horses travel with a tax, and has been beaten twice in two runs for Mullins since leaving France - both over the Cross Country terrain at Cheltenham.

From the bucolic boredom of that race, this is far more exciting - but the price is not.

I don't quite know what to make of the going for him, as he finished second on good at Cheltenham in December, but his winning form over fences in France was on heavy. Perhaps he will need soft to excel?

Midlands Grand National, 15:00, Saturday 14th March, Uttoxeter - Back Transmission @ 10/111.00

Git Maker is a hard horse to fancy at the price considering he was pulled up in the Welsh National at Chepstow, but he bounced back of sorts with a 4L fifth in the Grand National Trial at Haydock behind Grand Geste (who held an entry for this too).

He tends to be niggled along early and was once second in a Kim Muir, but he hasn't won for a long time.

I've got better in going in the mind for this and Transmission should be okay judged on his Musselburgh victory in the Edinburgh National last time out for trainer Neil Mulholland.

Connor O'Farrell mentioned the Scottish National could be a good race for him, so any drying ground on that basis wouldn't be a problem and in the words of the jockey post-Musselburgh "he just gallops".

He coped well with the late injection of pace as the finishing speed of 112% indicates and it was the way he nipped up the inside after a collision of a couple of horses that impressed.

Astonishingly he was sent off 7/24.50 favourite for the National Hunt Challenge Cup Chase at the Cheltenham Festival 12 months ago behind Haiti Couleurs. He was 133 then and 137 nowadays, but lightly-raced over fences, I like his chances at 10/111.00.

The further step up to 4m2f could draw out some more improvement too.

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