Ellade only cost £9,000 as a yearling and she knew her job well when making a winning debut at Lingfield earlier this month, always positioned well and finding plenty in the closing stages to narrowly beat the favourite who had previous experience. Admittedly, that wasn't the strongest race, but she should have even more to offer and tops Timeform weight-adjusted ratings here.
Conditions look set to be testing which will suit Jill Rose down to the ground. She won back-to-back handicaps over course and distance in heavy ground last season, and is now only 4 lb higher in the weights than for that last success. Jill Rose has shaped as though in need of the run on both of her starts so far this season, shaping better than the bare result suggests at Thirsk last time, form which looks strong for the grade, and she is expected to get back on the up under conditions which clearly suit.
Ehrmann is less exposed than most of these and was only just denied over course and distance last time on his handicap debut and in a first-time tongue tie. He was beaten only be one who improved for the switch to turf, but Ehrmann moved like the best horse at the weights that day, and there should be more to come now. Proven with ease in the ground, he should prove hard to beat.
Recommended bets
Back Ellade @ 3.55/2 in the 17:45 at Catterick
Back Jill Rose @ 6.511/2 in the 18:50 at Catterick
Back Ehrmann @ 2.56/4 in the 19:50 at Catterick
Smart Stat
Red Allure - 20:50 Catterick
Smart Stat: £16.75 - Michael Mullineaux's profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a Flat meeting
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