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Walker filly drops down in class at Salisbury
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Tregoning three winners from last four runners
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Alan Dudman picks out a double on Thursday
Salisbury - 16:25: Back American Arrow @ 5/16.00
Away from the Group 3 Dick Poole, the fillies race in the 16:25 in a contest to remember Jeff Smith's beloved Lochsong.
I'm going to zone in on the three-year-olds here and American Arrow looked such a good filly on her debut, I am backing her to bounce back after flopping in Listed company last time.
Ed Walker finally got her running in July this year (she didn't race as a juvenile) and she scored by 4L on her Haydock debut on good ground, although Timeform rated the surface good to firm. While keen, she ran on strongly and was well worth a try at 1m on her next start.
However, that Listed effort was a blow-out, and she's back down in distance to 7f and goes handicapping from a mark of 82.
The elder fillies look solid, but the selection is the unexposed runner here and Walker's success in terms of strike-rate shows him in a good light with his three-year-olds on turf - 22 winners at 21% this campaign.
Walker also possesses a decent return at Salisbury at 13% win and 37% placed from his 149 runners at the course.
While her Haydock win wasn't a sensational piece of form with the beaten horses in behind, I give her a chance to put her name on the honours board.
Back American Arrow
Haydock - 16:50: Back Wisper @ 9/110.00
It's very rare these days, indeed rare as a butterfly in winter, to espouse the form of Marcus Trergoning. With his last four runners, three have won, and Quietness has been a revelation this season with another big win at Beverley recently.
Tregoning's Wisper is a mare I've backed before, and she has been unlucky on more than one occasion as she often travels well. I had in my mind she's be about 5/16.00 or 6/17.00, so the fact she's at a massive 9s makes her an attractive each-way option with the three places.
Last time out she finished second to Shemozzle off a mark of 86 at Lingfield. While that mark does demand a near-personal best, she didn't have the race run to suit at Lingfield as the winner made all the running and controlled the tempo - which saw a race finishing speed of 111%.
She had one of her "unlucky ones" at Goodwood at the big festival in July as she competed in a strong 0-105 Fillies' Handicap and came from off the pace only to meet trouble late on. She wasn't beaten far there.
Wisper will to be ridden for a bit of luck again but 1m2f on any sort of ground isn't a problem and she might go close at a track that could suit her style.
With luck of course.
Back Wisper
Back Alan's double on Thursday
Now read Alan Dudman's Antepost column ahead of the Betfair Sprint Cup this Saturday!
Recommended bets
Back American Arrow @ 5/16.00 in the 16:25 at Salisbury 0.5pt
Back Wisper @ 9/110.00 in the 16:50 at Haydock 0.5pt
You can back Alan's Sportsbook double on Thursday @ 59/160.00 0.5pt
ALAN DUDMAN'S P AND L SINCE MULTIPLES COLUMN INCEPTION
Multiples 2021 to present: +37.24pts
2021 to present Daily Racing Multiple Column singles to 1pt stake (0.5pt EW) settled at BSP: +168.94pts