Horse Racing Tips: Expect a masterclass from Spencer for Thursday 59/1 double

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Can Jamie Spencer get the best out of Masterclass at Yarmouth on Thursday?

Alan Dudman had a big price win and place yesterday with Urban Road, and he tackles the Yarmouth card on Thursday with a 59/1 Sportsbook multiple...

  • Alan had a single winner yesterday at 13.29 BSP

  • Newcomer a big mover today from 10/111.00 into 13/27.50

  • Spencer rides the final leg at Yarmouth


Yarmouth - 14:30 - Back Quatre Bras

Urban Road was a fine winner for Wednesday's column - landing in at a BSP of 13.291229/100 and once again drifting. Bagging the place part there also set us up nicely for the second leg with Jamih, who travelled ever so well and looked a winner at one stage. How that horse didn't get third was a mystery - denied by a nose.

The 2yo 7f Novice at Yarmouth today contains some well above-average pedigrees and Godolphin are double-handed at the top of the market with a Charlie Appleby favourite at 6/4 and a Saeed bin Suroor newcomer next best at 5/1.

Away from those two, Jane Chapple-Hyam's Quatre Bras has a top pedigree and was supported from 10/111.00 into 13/27.50 this morning on Sportsbook, and I can see the angle with that initial price looking too big.

The 15/28.50 didn't last very long at all earlier today.

Whether he is sharp enough for a 7f debut we'll see as a son of Sea The Stars, as the sire is 0-8 win at the track over 7f with his juveniles, but three have placed at 33%.

Chapple-Hyam can also fire in the odd 2yo winner and is 2-8 this term at 25% with her juveniles, and few in her stable would cost as much as Quatre Bras cost at 350,000 guineas as a yearling.

This horse is the first runner out of the dam Waitingfortheday, who was trained by Joseph O'Brien - a smart miler on good or quick ground.

Appleby's Inner City cost 1.1M, so perhaps it's a little underwhelming he'll be starting at Yarmouth rather than a grander venue, and the Godolphin man is hardly in flying form at the moment - in fact 4-32 at 13%. Rare for him.

Back Quatre Bras

13/2

Yarmouth - 17:00 - Back Masterclass

Backing runners from the David Simcock stable can often be a frustrating pursuit, purely as they are nearly always held up no matter the situation.

Masterclass 7/18.00 is for Simcock and Jamie Spencer today and the 4yo surely has to be better than his comeback run for the year at Southwell last time - finishing sixth of seven and beaten 6L.

My take is that he needed the run, as he was a solid performer last season with three seconds, a third and a win. The victory came at Brighton on quick ground, and he'll have the quick terrain today.

His final two runs on the AW in September 2022 saw the hold-up tactics fail, as he had far too much to do over 6f at Chelmsford, and likewise when he didn't have a stronger gallop at Kempton.

His record on good to firm ground reads 1,2,2 and he is ready for step up in distance to 7f now.

Simcock and Spencer together have an excellent record at Yarmouth at 28% win and 40% placed. If eight stand their ground he looks a good each-way price too.

Back Masterclass

7/1

Recommended bets

Back Quatre Bras @ 13/27.50 in the 14:30 at Yarmouth

Back Masterclass @ 7/18.00 in the 17:00 at Yarmouth

You can back Quatre Bras and Masterclass in a Sportsbook double on Thursday at Yarmouth that pays around 59/160.00 0.5pt

ALAN DUDMAN'S P & L

Multiples 2021 to present: +32.53pts

2023 Daily Racing Multiple Column singles to 1pt stake (0.5pt EW) settled at BSP: +34.87pts

2022 Daily Racing Multiple Column singles to 1pt stake (0.5pt EW) settled at BSP: +170.13pts

Bets Of Day 2016 to 2021: +25.10pts

Irish Racing Tips 2020 to 2021: +21.63pts

Alan Dudman

Alan is a long term member of the Betting.Betfair team and has been a broadcaster and writer for over 20 years.

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