The PGA Tour heads to Florida for the WGC Workday Championship and Dave Tindall has three each-way picks to be First Round Leader at The Concession Golf Club...
"He's shot in the 60s in round one at each of his last six tournaments. That includes an opening 64 in the Sony Open and a 67 at Pebble."
Each-way terms: 1/5 odds, 6 places
Weather forecast for Thursday: It's a sunny and mild throughout the golfing day with temperatures peaking in the late 70s in mid-afternoon. Winds are fairly modest at 6-8mph.
This is the first event played at The Concession.
Strategy: With a field of just 73, a two-tee start and three-balls in operation, the schedule is packed tight. The first groups go off at 10.58am local and the last at 1.10pm. With the weather constant, there's no obvious strategy to employ so it's a free hit.
Bank on Berger
We last saw Daniel Berger making a brilliant eagle at Pebble Beach's iconic 18th hole to secure his fourth PGA Tour title. The previous had come in June 2020 and he's been in a rich vein of form for some time.
Strong starts have been part of that and he's shot in the 60s in round one at each of his last six tournaments. That includes an opening 64 in the Sony Open and a 67 at Pebble.
Early reports from The Concession suggests it's important to hit the greens as getting up and down is tricky.
That should suit Berger, who ranked third for greens in regulation at Pebble Beach and second in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green.
As most players are seeing this course for the first time, it makes sense to lean on current form and Berger - a win and two top 10s in four starts this season - certainly has plenty of that. He's also a born and bred Floridian which means he'll enjoy the familiar Bermuda greens.
Back him at 30/1 to set the early pace. He starts at 11.42am from the 10th alongside Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka.
Jump in for Justin
Justin Rose has a bunch of good form in Florida and this could be a decent venue for the Englishman to continue his return to form.
Rose has played all four rounds in seven of his last eight events after a miserable run where missed cuts became the norm. And that revival peaked with a second place in the Saudi International on his latest start.
His stats were particularly encouraging as he ranked seventh in Strokes Gained: Approach and first in Scrambling.
Even when we weren't convinced that Rose was getting back on track, he has had some notable starts in big events such as a five-under 67 on day one of November's US Masters and another 67 at the ZOZO Championship.
Rose is 40s to lead here and that's worth a go.
The 2013 US Open winner begins his day at No.10 in the company of Patrick Cantlay and Carlos Ortiz. They tee off at 11.20am.
Scottie can start with a bang
Scott Scheffler is my third pick at 45/1.
The big hitter has found a nice groove in his last two events with T7 in Phoenix and T20 at Riviera. He started both events with a 67.
Scheffler ranked second for GIR at the Genesis last time and also did some strong work around the greens.
The Texan has played just one previous PGA Tour event in Florida but that saw him finish tied 15th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. More prudent to this market, his opening 67 put him third after 18 holes.
Scheffler has finished in the top four after round one in three of his last seven events, including two of the last three.
He also knows this course a little bit after taken part in the 2015 NCAA held at The Concession where he finished T33 in the individual effort.
Scheffler also starts at the 10th in a 12.15pm three-ball featuring Sebastian Munoz and Rafa Cabrera Bello.
Dave's First Round Leader P/L