Find Me a 100 Winner: Three long shots chanced at between 129/1 and 279/1

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The last two winners of the Phoenix Open - Thomas Detry and Nick Taylor - went off at odds of 160.0159/1 and 280.0279/1 on the Betfair Exchange but the 10 winners prior to Taylor all went off at between 12.011/1 and 70.069/1 and Rickie Fowler, the 2019 champ, was the only victor over the decade not to have won a major championship.

The last two results appear to go against the grain, so I've concentrated most of my efforts on this week's DP World Tour event - the Qatar Masters - but I do like one of Dave Tindall's each-way fancies - Haotong Li.

Phoenix Open bet - Haotong Li @ 130.0129/1

As Dave highlights, Li is a bit of a desert golf specialist so he should take to the venue and the fact that he's recently ranked so highly for the key stat here - Strokes Gained: Tee-to Green - also bodes well.

In his three promising starts on the PGA Tour this year - 55^th at the Sony Open, eighth at the American Express and 11^th last week in the Farmers Insurance Open - he's ranked 17^th, second and seventh for SG: Tee-to-Green.

It's quite hard to envisage Li lifting the trophy so in addition to having a small wager in the outright market, I've also played the 30-year-old in the Top 10 Finish market.

Qatar Masters bet #1 - Nathan Kimsey @ 150.0149/1

As is the case in Phoenix, the key stat at the Qatar Masters, won last year by Haotong Li, has been Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, and that's the sole reason why links specialist, Jacob Skov Olesen, isn't in the staking plan.

Although the 26-year-old Dane missed the cut in Qatar on debut 12 months ago, his links pedigree suggests this is somewhere he really should take to but since finishing fifth in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, when a column selection at 280.0279/1, where he ranked 17^th for SG: Tee-to-Green, the best he's ranked for that metric is 41^st so he's been left out in favour of two others with a much better recent tee to green game. Starting with the 32-year-old Englishman - Nathan Kimsey.

Dogged by injury, Kimsey has had a bit of a start-stop career to date with the highlights being a pair of victories on the HotelPlanner Tour in 2022 and a playoff defeat at the Barbasol Championship on the PGA Tour in 2023, five months after fracturing his hand in the Singapore Classic.

Kimsey started his first event of the year understandably slowly last week when he shot 72 in the opening round of the Bahrain Championship to sit tied for 81^st but he climbed the leaderboard nicely after that to finish ninth, ranking 14^th for SG: Tee-to-Green, and that's where he finished in this event on his only previous appearance, way back in 2017.

Kimsey has more than enough talent to win at this level and he looks worth chancing after last week's eye-catching seasonal bow.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

Qatar Masters bet #2 - Daniel van Tonder @ 280.0279/1

As highlighted in the preview, South Africans have a great record at the Qatar Masters and the one I like at a big price is Daniel van Tonder, who won back-to-back on the HotelPlanner Tour this time last year.

The prolific 34-year-old, who has also won once on the DP World Tour and 12 times on the Sunshine Tour, missed the cut in his first start of the year in Bahrain last week after a 77 on Thursday left him with too much to do, but he was in fine form at the end of 2025, when he ranked fourth, ninth and 16^th SG: Tee-to-Green when finishing 10^th in the Nedbank, 14^th in the Alfred Dunhill Championship and 15^th in Mauritius.

Like Kimsey, van Tonder has only played Doha once before, finishing 47^th two years ago, but a vast bank of course experience is far from an essential prerequisite at Doha.

Last year's winner, Li, had limited Doha figures reading MC-16^th, the two winners before him had played here just once before, and the three winners before them were playing here for the first time.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

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