Find Me a 100 Winner: Long-shots chanced in Europe and the US between 119/1 and 159/1

Only one of the last eight winners of this week's PGA Tour event, the Memorial Tournament, has been a long-shot. That was the 2022 champ, Billy Horschel, who was generally a 90.089/1 chance on the Betfair Exchange, having been matched at as high as 110.0109/1. Historically, the Memorial has been a reasonable event for outsiders.

Bart Bryant in 2005 and Carl Pettersson in 2006 were very much unfancied and the five winners before Patrick Cantlay broke his duck at Muirfield Village in 2019 ranged from fairly tough to find to almost impossible.

The 48.047/1 chance Bryson DeChambeau edged out a pair of longshots, Kyle Syanley and An Byeong-Hun in 2018, after Jason Dufner had been matched at 100.099/1 before the off in 2017. But like the 2014 winner, Hideki Matsuyama, he went off at between 70.069/1 and 80.079/1.

The two winners in between Matsuyama and Dufner, David Lingmerth in 2015 and William McGirt a year later, were huge outsiders, matched at more than 700.0699/1 before the get-go.

Maybe we're due another big-priced winner in Ohio? I've picked out two.

Over on the DP World Tour, four of the last eight winners of the KLM Open have gone off at odds in excess of 100/1101.00 so that's been an even better event for longshots recently. I'll start there where I've also picked out two.

KLM Open bet #1 - Guido Migliozzi @ 130.0129/1

I've been keeping an eye on the weather forecast all week and, although it's not as acute as it looked a few days ago, it appears that the early starters on Thursday may have the slight advantage. That just puts me off the course specialist, Joackim Lagergren.

The Swede is more than capable of coping with poor conditions but he's got a very late tee time on day one and that could be a negative with the AM-PM side of the draw likely to narrowly enjoy the best conditions on Thursday and Friday. For that reason, I've decided to plump for the man who secured some returns in Turkey a month ago - Guido Migliozzi.

The Italian, who kicks off the event in the first group off the 10^th tee on Thursday morning, has missed both his cuts since finishing second at the Turkish Airlines Open when a column pick at 160.0159/1 (matched at a low of 5.04/1) but that doesn't unduly worry me.

Only really interested in winning, Migliozzi is a bit of an in-and-out performer anyway, and he's won on numerous occasions when seemingly out of form, although he did signal his wellbeing when winning this event at this year's venue, The International, two years ago at 40.039/1.

Migliozzi had finished eighth in the European Open two weeks earlier, but he won his first DP World Tour title, the Kenya Open, with form figures reading MC-MC-63-MC. He won his third title on the Alps Tour before that after four straight missed cuts.

He had form figures reading 25-32-35-33 before he won the Belgium Knockout in 2019 and current figures reading 38-35-13-34 prior to his victory in the Open de France in 2022 didn't really telegraph his wellbeing.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

KLM Open bet #2 - Yurav Premlall @ 150.0149/1

Drawn in the second group out in the afternoon on day one, Yurav Premlall, could be scuppered by the draw but he's a big enough price to chance after a pair of decent efforts following his facile success in Spain last month.

Surprise winners on the DP World Tour are not uncommon and it's not unusual to see someone have a great week at 1000.0999/1 only to disappear and never win again. But when Premlall caused an almighty shock at the Catalunya Championship three starts ago, he did it with so much authority, it's very difficult to imagine it's a one off.

His 14-stroke victory in Spain set a new record for a DP World tournament outside the major championships and there's surely more to come from the 22-year-old South African.

A top 30 finish in Belgium and a top 40 finish in Austria last week have followed his remarkable success so he hasn't fallen off the planet form wise. He looks worth keeping onside when going off at ludicrous prices in the near future.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

Memorial Tournament bet #1 - Wyndham Clark @ 120.0119/1

A top 12 finish after his maiden PGA Tour success at Quail Hollow and a missed cut in the US PGA Championship is Wyndham Clark's best performance in the Memorial Tournament in six starts so he doesn't have a great record here.

That top 12 came in his penultimate start before his US Open win in 2023 so he was in red-hot form at the time. Given he was so impressive last time out then, he's hard to ignore here at 120.0119/1.

Trailing by five strokes at halfway, following rounds of 66 and 63, Clark shot 65-60 over the weekend at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson two weeks ago to comfortably claim his fourth PGA Tour title by three strokes.

In addition to that little spell in 2023, when he won twice in six weeks, he finished runners-up in both the Arnold Palmer and the Players Championship a month after winning his third PGA Tour title at Pebble Beach.

He's shown on a few occasions that he can hold his form once he's found it.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

Memorial Tournament bet #2 - Nick Taylor @ 160.0159/1

I was sorely tempted to play the Cognizant Classic winner, Nico Echavarria, who caught the eye in Texas last week when finishing sixth at the Charles Schwab Challenge on Sunday.

As highlighted in the preview, it's not uncommon for players who have performed nicely on the Florida Swing to show up here after a couple of quite months. For that reason, the man he beat at the Cognizant, Shane Lowry, is also a tempting price given he's shown bits of form here too.

We could all look a bit daft if the deadly accurate Arron Rai doubles up here at a triple-figure price following his brilliant victory in the US PGA Championship last time out. But for my second pick, I'm going with prolific Canadian Nick Taylor who was contention in Pennsylvania.

In search of his sixth success on the PGA Tour, the 38-year-old arrives in Ohio in fair form, with respectable figures reading 9-14-26 that could have easily been better.

He sat second at the halfway stage of the Truist Championship around a venue that was arguably too long for him, before eventually finishing ninth. He was third after the opening round of the Truist Championship before a 73 on Friday derailed his chances at Quail Hollow. He was sat second with 18 to play before a 74 on Sunday saw him slump to 24^th behind Rai at Aronimink last time out.

Taylor finished fourth here last year having been tied for the lead at halfway, so we know it's a venue that suits his eye and he was impossible to ignore at 160.0159/1.

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 and 12 Us @ 2.01/1

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