The Punter

KLM Open: Get with Gouveia at 89/1

  • Steven Rawlings
  • Published on
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The DP World Tour moves from Austria to the Netherlands for the 104th edition of the KLM Open and our man has the lowdown ahead of Thursday's start here... 


KLM Open tournament history

Founded in 1912, the KLM Open has been an ever-present on the DP World Tour since its inception in 1972, although it was one of many to be lost to the pandemic in 2020.

The KLM Open is a nomadic event but for the third year-in-arow, and for the fourth time in total, the tournament returns to The International in Amsterdam for what is the 105th edition of the tournament.


Venue

The International, Badhoevedorp, Amsterdam, Netherlands.


Course details

Par 71 6,914 yards
Stroke Average in 2025 - 73.02

Having opened in June 2012, The International is located around four miles south-west of Amsterdam city centre and laid out across a 77-hectare site.

The course was co-designed by Ian Woosnam and Belgian architect firm Mastergolf.

The International is a parkland course with a strong links feel to it.

Thanks to its undulating fairways, which are bordered by a plethora of mounds, many of the holes provide a sense of seclusion from the rest of the course.

The putting surfaces are large, fast, well-contoured, and they offer a large selection of potential pin positions. Water will come into play on ten holes and there is plenty of greenside sand to steer clear of.

Most parts of a golfer's game will be fully tested, with the pros having to contend with the noise of planes landing at nearby Schipol Airport.

Two years after opening, The International hosted a tournament on the European Senior Tour in 2014, and in addition to hosting the last two renewals, it was also used for the first time in 2019.


Weather forecast


TV coverage

Live on Sky Sports all four days, starting at 12:00 on Thursday.


Last 10 winners with pre-event Betfair Exchange prices

2025 - Connor Syme -11 150.0149/1
2024 - Guido Migliozzi -11 40.039/1 (playoff)
2023 - Pablo Larrazabal -13 80.079/1
2022 - Victor Perez -13 65.064/1 (playoff)
2021 - Kristoffer Broberg -23 400.0399/1
2020 - Event Cancelled
2019 - Sergio Garcia -18 19.018/1
2018 - Ashun Wu -16 140.0139/1
2017 - Romain Wattel -15 300.0299/1
2016 -Joost Luiten -19 18.017/1


Past results at The international

We've only had three renewals here so how much use the stats are going to be is debatable but here's the traditional stats and the Strokes Gained stats for the top five at the first three editions of the event staged at The International.

No stats were produced for the runner-up in 2019, the virtually unknown 18-year-old Dane, Nicolai Hojgaard.

(Key: DD - Driving Distance; DA - Driving Accuracy; GIR - Greens in Regulation; SC - Scrambling; PA - Putting Average)

2019
Sergio Garcia -18 - DD: 15, DA: 16, GIR: 3, SC: 4, PA: 20
Nicolai Hojgaard -17 - No Stats
Matt Wallace -15 - DD: 21, DA: 27, GIR: 15, SC: 5, PA: 9
James Morrison -14 - DD: 55, DA: 21, GIR: 31, SC: 38, PA: 1
Callum Shinkwin -13 - DD: 9, DA: 18, GIR: 6, SC: 18, PA: 52

2024
Guido Migliozzi -11 - DD: 143, DA: 35, GIR: 6, SC: 97, PA: 4
Joe Dean -11 -17 - DD: 9, DA: 76, GIR: 1, SC: 87, PA: 27
Markus Kinhult -11 - DD: 94, DA: 12, GIR: 68, SC: 32, PA: 3
Rasmus Hojgaard -10 - DD: 50, DA: 51, GIR: 36, SC: 29, PA: 17
Andrea Pavan -10 - DD: 100, DA: 144, GIR: 44, SC: 4, PA: 7

2025
Connor Syme -11 - DD: 35, DA: 17, GIR: 10, SC: 1, PA: 11
Joakim Lagergren -9 - DD: 16, DA: 5, GIR: 2, SC: 13, PA: 30
Jayden Schaper - 4 - DD: 46, DA: 25, GIR: 16, SC: 6, PA: 18
Ewen Ferguson -3 - DD: 32, DA: 48, GIR: 22, SC: 32, PA: 40
Richie Ramsay -3 - DD: 67, DA: 48, GIR: 54, SC: 15, PA: 6
Jack Senior -3 - DD: 59, DA: 33, GIR: 30, SC: 16, PA: 10

(Key: SG-T - Strokes Gained: Off the Tee; SG-A - Strokes Gained: Approach; SG-ATG - Strokes Gained: Around the Tee; SG-T2G - Strokes Gained: Tee to Green; SG-P - Strokes Gained: Putting)

2019
Sergio Garcia -18 - SG:T: 4, SG:A: 2, SG:ATG: 32, SG:T2G: 1, SG:P: 31
Nicolai Hojgaard -17 - No Stats
Matt Wallace -15 - SG:T: 11, SG:A: 14, SG:ATG: 9, SG:T2G: 4, SG:P: 25
James Morrison -14 - SG:T: 37, SG:A: 11, SG:ATG: 12, SG:T2G: 11, SG:P: 6
Callum Shinkwin -13 - SG:T: 3, SG:A: 21, SG:ATG: 5, SG:T2G: 2, SG:P: 50

2024
Guido Migliozzi -11 - SG:T: 27, SG:A: 10, SG:ATG: 13, SG:T2G: 6, SG:P: 21
Joe Dean -11  -  SG:T: 17, SG:A: 34, SG:ATG: 55, SG:T2G: 28, SG:P: 3
Markus Kinhult -11 - SG:T: 38, SG:A: 20, SG:ATG: 39, SG:T2G: 27, SG:P: 6
Rasmus Hojgaard -10 - SG:T: 23, SG:A: 27, SG:ATG: 32, SG:T2G: 18, SG:P: 5
Andrea Pavan -10 - SG:T: 56, SG:A: 22, SG:ATG: 58, SG:T2G: 41, SG:P: 16

2025
Connor Syme -11 - SG:T: 22, SG:A: 3, SG:ATG: 18, SG:T2G: 2, SG:P: 12
Joakim Lagergren -9 -  SG:T: 2, SG:A: 4, SG:ATG: 16, SG:T2G: 1, SG:P: 36
Jayden Schaper - 4 - SG:T: 14, SG:A: 35, SG:ATG: 22, SG:T2G: 20, SG:P: 21
Ewen Ferguson -3 - SG:T: 7, SG:A: 16, SG:ATG: 20, SG:T2G: 5, SG:P: 53
Richie Ramsay -3 - SG:T: 40, SG:A: 39, SG:ATG: 55, SG:T2G: 52, SG:P: 4
Jack Senior -3 - SG:T: 53, SG:A: 18, SG:ATG: 23, SG:T2G: 30, SG:P: 19 


Is there an angle in?

It's really tricky when we only have three renewals to look back on, but The International is a linksy track so links form and form in the desert is well worth considering.

Rain softened the course in 2024 but the 54-hole leader, the Finnish veteran, Mikko Korhonen, confirmed it's linksy feel when interviewed at the halfway stage of the tournament.

"The golf course is nice, I like it. It's rewarding good drives. There's a couple of blind shots so you have to really commit to the tee-shots. It's linksy but it's not running that fast yet."

The 2024 winner, Guido Migliozzi, doesn't have an abundance of links form but he does have form in the desert with placed efforts in Oman, Dubai and Qatar, but one of the men he beat in extra time, Markus Kinhult, does. The Swede won the British Masters at Hillside back in 2019.

Matt Wallace, who was in-contention until round four in 2024, traded at odds-on at Hillside when Kinhult won, and he also finished third here seven years ago. And looking back to the first renewal here, in 2019, links and desert form certainly came to the fore.

The runner-up, Nicolai Hojgaard, went on to win the DP World Tour Championship at the Earth Course in 2023, when Wallace was tied for second.

The winner seven years ago, Sergio Garcia, has played at the Earth Course ten times previously and he's finished inside the top ten on five occasions and he's also a winner of the Dubai Desert Classic

Garcia has lost a playoff in an Open Championship and whilst he has more desert form than links form, Nicolai finished seventh at the Scottish Open three years ago.

Nicolai's brother, Rasmus, who was fourth here two years ago, has more links form than his twin (won the Irish Open in 2024), and he too has plenty of form in the desert.


Galgorm Castle form could be a plus

The 54-hole leader in 2024, Korhonen, won last week's event, the Austrian Alpine Open, when it was known as the Shot Clock Masters and played at the Diamond Country Club back in 2018 and last year's winner here, Syme, finished second to him.

That form is now eight years old and the Austrian Alpine Open hasn't been played at the Diamond Country Club since then so trawling through old Austrian form is probably a waste of time but form at a more recently used venue - Galgorm Castle - may be worth looking at.

Galgorm Castle has hosted the Northen Ireland Open on the HotelPlanner Tour on eight occasions since 2013, the Irish Open was held there in 2020, and the now defunct ISPS Handa World Invitational was also staged there between 2021 and 2023.

Last year's runners-up, Lagergren, won at Galgorm Castle back in 2014, Syme has finished second and fourth there and two of the players to finish tied for fourth 12 months ago, Ewen Ferguson and Jack Senior, have also won at Galgorm Castle.

That looks like too much correlating form for it to be coincidental.


Fair event for long-shots

We haven't had a well-fancied winner since Sergio won at 18/119.00 in 2019, and four of the last eight winners have gone off at a triple-figure price so it's been a decent event for long-shots.


Course winner's position and Betfair Exchange price pre-round four

2025 - Connor Syme - led by two strokes 1.758/11
2024 - Guido Migliozzi - solo second, trailing by one 5.49/2
2019 - Sergio Garcia - tied for the lead 2.0421/20 


In-play tactics

Syme was inside the top three places all week long and he comfortably converted his two stoke lead with 18 to play. He only won by two in the end, but he was never in danger and the runner-up, Lagergren, eagled the last to make it look closer than it was.

Sergio Garcia was never outsider the top 10 or more than two off the lead at any stage in 2019 but it's clearly possible to come from off the pace here given the three playoff protagonists in 2024 were all outside the top 10 at halfway, and we've witnessed plenty of in-play drama here already.

Having been matched at 1.341/3 early on in round four, Garcia was caught and passed by Callum Shinkwin and the Englishman was matched at a low of 1.9420/21.

The inexperienced Nicolai Hojgaard was matched at a low of 2.6413/8 when he was tied for the lead with four to play but he failed to birdie the par five 15th before bogeying 16 and Matt Wallace, having been matched at 1000.0999/1 was matched at just 4.03/1 when he got to within one off the lead in round four.

Korhonen began the final round leading by a stroke two years ago and he was matched at a low of 2.6213/8 early on in round four but he lost his way badly on the back-nine.

Guido Migliozzi, who had sat alone in second, moved alongside Korhonen on the front nine and at one stage the pair were three clear of the field.

Migliozzi hit 1.84/5 as the Finn started to flap but he too started dropping shots - bogeying the ninth and 10th - and he drifted all the way out to 30.029/1 after he'd bogeyed 12 and 14 and failed to birdie the par five 15th to slip to -9.

Rasmus Hojgaard was matched at a low of 2.111/10 after a brilliant birdie at the tough 10th but his erratic driving eventually took its toll and from miles off the pace, Andrea Pavan posted 10-under-par.

Having been matched at 1000.0999/1, he was matched at a low of just 8.07/1 when it looked like that may just be enough, but it was ultimately a shot shy of the total required.

With birdies at 16 and 17, Marcus Kinhult surged to the front, and he was matched at 1.384/11 when he parred the last to post -11.

It looked like the Swede had done enough but Joe Dean came home in 30 to catch him, finishing his round with birdies at 16 and 18, and minutes later, Migliozzi matched the Englishman's score on the last three holes to join the two in the clubhouse on -11 before winning the playoff at the second extra hole.

We often witness all sorts of drama on the DP World Tour on a Sunday, with multiple players trading at odds-on, and despite last year's result, this looks like a good venue for trading in round four.


Gouveia value to finally get off the mark

Although Ricardo Gouveia is yet to win on the DP World Tour, the 34-year-old Portuguese has tasted success on the HotelPlanner Tour seven times and there are plenty of reasons to think he could finally break his duck this week to emulate last week's winner, Kota Kaneko, who won in Austria, one week after finishing second in Belgium.

Gouveia hit a low of 1.8810/11 when he gave himself a chance to eagle the par five 10th on Sunday morning in Austria and that would have seen him go two clear with eight holes to play. But after settling for a birdie four, he missed a par putt on 11 from just three feet.

He parred his way in after that to finish tied for second, beaten by two, and he'll have to lift himself this week to overcome the disappointment, but he's a very fair price to do so at 90.089/1.

Gouveia now has four top 10 finishes to his name in 2026 and, with current figures reading 7-13-24-2, he's in a rich vein of form, thanks mainly to a hot putter.

In his last four starts, he's ranked third, seventh, 72nd, and seventh for Putting Average so by and large he's putting very nicely indeed.

Although he has underwhelming course form figures reading MC-MC-19, he led the event after a 64 on Thursday 12 months ago so that's a positive to draw on. He also has form at Galgorm Castle, a venue that appears to correlate nicely.

Gouveia finished third at Galgorm back in 2015 on his only visit and he's won back-to-back events on the HotelPlanner Tour so we know he can hold his form nicely once he finds it.

His all round game is in fine shape at present and he's a very fair price to finally secure his first victory on the DP World Tour.


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