Golf Tips: Best bets for Genesis Invitational and Kenya Open

• Steve Rawlings previews and provides weekend in-play blog

• Check out Steve's outsiders to back at 100/1101.00 and bigger

• Dave Tindall has e/w and first round leader tips

• Andy Swales brings course info and form players

 Genesis Invitational tips and predictions

The Punter's Preview: Rose the Riviera value at 64/1

Steve Rawlings: We've already seen Patrick Reed win twice on the DP World Tour and Chris Gotterup win twice on the PGA Tour so the fact that Justin Rose has just trotted up at the Farmers Insurance Open doesn't put me off the veteran Englishman. He followed that win up with a 37^th place at Pebble Beach on Sunday but his stats were still good.

In his last two starts, he's ranked first and 28^th for Putting Average and first and seventh for Greens In Regulation and he's shown form here previously too, finishing ninth in 2011 and fourth in 2017. Rose doesn't tick the US Masters winner box, but he's finished runner-up twice at Augusta, losing in extra time to Sergio Garcia in 2017 and again last year to Rory McIlroy.

His victory down the California coast at Torrey Pines at the start of the month was an incredible performance but the market appears to have forgotten it already.

Each-way Picks: Back Fleetwood to fire at 18/1

Dave Tindall: It was perhaps too much to expect Fleetwood to roar out of the blocks in 2026 after he'd clearly enjoyed his family time over Christmas. But 25th at the Dubai Invitational was okay and despite only managing 41st in the Dubai Desert Classic - a venue where he's not always at his best - it was notable that Fleetwood ranked fifth for SG: Approach.

His first start on the PGA Tour came last week and, with expectations a little limited, he kept pushing to the end and emerged with an impressive tied fourth. Fleetwood's end-of-round positions at Pebble were 19-17-7-4. And, talking of progression, it continued his streak of improving his finish at Pebble on each visit. After a 45th on debut, Fleetwood has now finished 31st, 22nd and fourth. I've highlighted that as it bodes well for what he's trying to pull off at Riviera this week...

On his fifth visit, Fleetwood now has the tools and, just as importantly, the belief that he can win here. At Pebble the Englishman ranked third for SG: Tee To Green and he now has four top 10s in his last six starts in California. Three of those are top fives.

Find Me a 100 Winner: Back Harman to hit the heights at 319/1

Steve Rawlings: Harman has never won at Augusta, but he did sit second at halfway (finished 12th) when a column selection back in 2021 and he has a bit of course form to boot too. Harman finished third at Riviera on only his second visit in 2014.

Harman has been lightly raced after a largely successful 2025, which saw him make it all the way to East Lake where he finished 13^th at the Tour Championship, but he played nicely enough last week, finishing 19^th in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

His 2025 highlights included his fourth PGA Tour win, at the Texas Open in April, a third in the RBC Heritage and top 10 finishes in the Travelers Championship and the Open, so I was quite surprised to see him trade at as high as 400.0. here.

He's shortened up a bit now but he's still a very fair price at more than 300/1 given his pedigree and he's my sole selection Stateside.

First-Round Leader Tips: Back Hoge at 100/1

Dave Tindall: We landed some each-way profits with Tom Hoge last week and simply can't ignore him at a three-figure price here. The American opened with a 65 at Pebble Beach to sit seventh after day one and ended the week in 14th. That added to an eighth at The American Express where he set out with a 64.

A first-round leader in 2025 at both Hawaii events, Hoge has some strong FRL history at Riviera. In the last edition there in 2024, he posted a Thursday 66 to sit fifth, he was seventh after a first-round 67 in 2023 while another 67 put him third through 18 holes in 2018.

Add all that to a favourable tee-time of 07:51 and he's a definite play at 100s (1/4 Odds, 5 Places). 

Course and current form stats

Course Form Pick:

Xander Schauffele is showing signs of returning to his best form with a top 20 finish at Pebble Beach last week being his best performance so far this year. That bodes well for this week at a venue where he always seems to contend. In seven appearances at Riviera he's never finished worse than 33rd, but he also has five top 15 finishes here including finishing fourth on his last appearance in 2024.

Kenya Open tips and predictions

The Punter's Preview: Lawrence is made for this venue 

Steve Rawlings: Thriston Lawrence was disappointing last time out, missing the cut in the Dubai Desert Classic, but he's impossible to ignore here in what's a fairly weak renewal. He has ordinary Karen form figures reading 47-6-MC but the prolific 29-year-old, who's already won five times on the DP World Tour, is made for the venue.

His first title came at altitude in his homeland at the Joburg Open around the tree-lined Randpark in 2021, he's twice won the European Masters at another track at altitude, framed by trees - Crans-sur-Sierre in Switzerland - and he's also won the BMW International at yet another tree-lined venue - Golfclub München Eichenried.

He's also finished fourth in the Soudal Open at the aforementioned Rinkven last year, as well as second at Muthaiga in this event in 2022 and he lost a playoff in the BMW PGA at Wentworth (yet another tree-lined track) in 2024.

Course and current form stats

Course form pick:

We have very little course form to go on ahead of the 2026 Kenya Open with just three tournaments staged here since 2019, but the player that fits the bill best, Calum Hill, is also the most in-form player going into this event. Hill has finished runner-up in his last two outings, including the Qatar Masters last time, and at this venue he's finished third and eighth on his last two appearances.

Now read an early preview of US Masters 2026 with three bets from Dave Tindall