Villarreal v Alaves
Friday 20:00
A couple of this week's bets have been won on very late goals. Last night in Belgium, we were paid out before half-time. Visiting Wolfsburg roared into a 2-0 lead before Gent pulled one back in the 41st minute to land Over 2.5 Goals. The hosts eventually equalised in the 93rd minute to grab a 2-2 draw, but we were long gone.
In fact, we were on our way to Spain for tonight's La Liga match between seventh-placed Villarreal (W4-D2-L3) and 14th-placed Alaves (W3-D2-L4). Only Barcelona have scored more Liga goals than Villarreal this season and we like the even money about today's game going Over 2.5 Goals - just like each of the last five head-to-head fixtures.
The Yellow Submarine won their last home match 5-1 and start as odds-on favourites for this one, despite losing 4/5 of those head-to-heads. This season, Javier Calleja's men are averaging more than three goals a home game on their own (13 in four). Since Calleja took charge midway through last term, 9/12 Liga games at El Madrigal have delivered Over 2.5 Goals in total.
Alaves have taken just one point from 12 on the road this season, but they have found the back of the net in two of those four matches, including last time out at Valencia. With a good scoring record in this fixture, they will be hopeful of striking at least once this evening.
Recommended bets
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.021/1 in Villarreal v Alaves
2019 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 149pts
Returned: 182.83pts
P/L: +33.83pts