Football Bet of the Day: Another quiet night in Peru

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Defences could be on top again in Peru tonight

"The hosts have scored only five times across their first four home games, while conceding not at all"

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.9620/21 in Union Comercio v Comerciantes Unidos

The neutral might not be enjoying this week's action from the Peruvian Primera Division, but Tobias Gourlay's looking forward to another low scorer tonight

Union Comercio v Comerciantes Unidos
Thursday 21:30

UTC Cajamarca sneaked a 1-0 win over Deportivo Municipal in Peru last night. It kept us well below the goals line and we're going to try and double our money (well, almost) with a bet on tonight's game from Nueva Cajamarca, which we're led to believe is a mere 11-hour drive from its older namesake.

We're here now anyway. Hosts Union Comercio could jump from tenth to seventh in the Primera Division with a win this evening. They're odds-on to get it too: while they've gone W3-D1-L0 at home this term, opponents Comerciantes Unidos are bottom of the table and W0-D0-L5 on the road. However, it's Under 2.5 Goals that looks a solid play at a bigger price.

The home side have scored only five times across their first four games at Estadio IPD de Moyobamba, while conceding not at all. The visitors have managed a couple of goals in their five consecutive away defeats. Together, they make a good case for backing Under 2.5 Goals at a near-evens price.

Recommended bets

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.9620/21 in Union Comercio v Comerciantes Unidos

2018 P/L (1pt per bet)

Staked: 97pts
Returned: 110.75pts
P/L: +13.75pts

Tobias Gourlay

A Betfair regular since Euro 2008, Tobias covers every blade of grass in every league of the world to find our Football Bet of the Day.

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