Tondela v Portimonense
Monday 20:15
Hoffenheim didn't take kindly to Kev's suggestion that they might struggle to overcome struggling Augsburg in Germany yesterday. Julian Nagelsmann's men scored early and often in beating their hosts 4-0 and denying Kev a winning finish to last week.
We're taking the wheel in Portugal, where the Monday-night Primeira Liga game pitches relegation-threatened Tondela at home to ninth-placed Portimonense. This fixture finished 2-2 last season, the reverse fixture saw Portimonense win 3-2 on home turf earlier this term and we fancy there will be a few more goals today.
Pepa's Tondela have delivered Over 2.5 Goals in 5/9 at Estadio Joao Cardoso Tondela. Ever since Pepa took charge in 2016, the hosts have found clean sheets hard to come by, conceding in 31/39, including 11/13 in the current campaign. At the other end, the Gold & Greens have scored themselves in 9/13.
Despite their stronger position in the overall table, Antonio Folha's visitors have conceded at least twice in 10/13 away games this season. They've scored themselves in 8/9. With 5/8 producing Over 2.5 Goals in total, we think there's a touch of value about the near-evens price on tonight's match being another high scorer.
Recommended bets
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.9520/21 in Tondela v Portimonense
2019 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 47pts
Returned: 55.32pts
P/L: +8.32pts