Southampton v Inter
Thursday 20:05 (Live on BT Sport 2)
We were spoiled again at Europe's top table last night. Legia Warsaw 3 Real Madrid 3 saw us paid out before half-time.
That won't be possible tonight, but the price on Under 2.5 Goals in Southampton's Europa League game with Internazionale is too tempting to ignore.
Inter won the reverse fixture 1-0 at the San Siro last month but - without a full-time coach - they're outsiders for this one. Over the last couple of months, the Nerazzurri have lost 5/8 competitive games and scored more than once in just one of those matches.
Claude Puel's Southampton are odds-on favourites, but they too have their problems. Subsequent to that trip to Italy, the Saints have seen three more competitive games stay Under 2.5 Goals. At St Mary's this season, 6/8 competitive games have now stayed below the line.
Group K is a tight one - three points separate the four teams - so neither side will want to risk defeat this evening. With 7/9 of the Saints' European games staying Under 2.5 Goals since 2003, we're betting on another low scorer this evening.
Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.834/5 in Southampton v Inter
2016 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 148pts
Returned: 139.77pts
P/L: -8.23pts