Football Bet of the Day: Back Bakke for goals

Sogndal v Nest-Sotra
Sunday 17:00

In Serbia yesterday, Radnicki Nis were thrashed at home by Partizan Belgrade, but not before the hosts had grabbed an early lead and helped us along to Over 2.5 Goals before half-time. From 1-2 down at the break, they eventually lost 1-4, but we salute them. We've won 4/6 this week and locked in a decent profit. Looking to finish with a flourish, we've come to Norway.

One of this afternoon's 1st Division matches takes fifth-placed Nest-Sotra to sixth-placed Sogndal, who are just one point behind them. Sogndal's home games have tended to be high scoring, so we're surprised to see Over 2.5 Goals on offer at an odds-against price.

Eirik Bakke's men have delivered Over 2.5 Goals in 9/12 at Fosshaugane Campus this season. Along the way, they've managed just a solitary clean sheet. Since returning to the second tier last season, 63% of their home games have got over the line (17/27).

Nest-Sotra have been similarly lax at the back. On the road they are now 10 games without a clean sheet. Six of those matches have reached Over 2.5 Goals in total and we think there's value in backing them to get over the line again this afternoon.