Qarabag FK v Samtredia
Tuesday 18:00
Defences lost some of their cool in Iceland last night, but not enough of it. IA Akranes 1 Vikingur Reykjavik 1 left us a couple of goals short of where we wanted to be.
It's a rare foray into Azerbaijan for us tonight. Local heroes Qarabag FK are regular Champions League qualifiers, but rarely go on to trouble the competition proper. They do, however, have one thing going for them: a consistently solid defence.
Home and away in Europe's top competition, the Horsemen have conceded just six times in 12 appearances since 2014. Each of their most recent nine matches have finished with Under 2.5 Goals in total, with six even staying Under 1.5 Goals. Since 2015, four outings at the Azersun Arena have brought just four goals in total.
Samtredia are from neighbouring Georgia, but cannot match their hosts for European experience. In fact, they don't really have any to speak of whatsoever. On the road, in the first game of a two-legged tie we'd expect them to be cautious and are very happy to take the near-evens price on a low scorer this evening.
Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.9210/11 in Qarabag FK v Samtredia
2017 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 93pts
Returned: 84.25pts
P/L: -8.75pts
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