Ponte Preta v Avai
Thursday 23:30
FC Basel 3 Thun 1 in Switzerland yesterday. Just as we thought, it started early - the hosts went 1-0 up within 4 minutes - but in the end they left it too late. Because, after an equaliser from plucky Thun, it wasn't until four minutes after half-time that Basel regained the lead.
From Switzerland to Brazil, where the Serie A season is 17 games old.
Ponte Preta are running 10th in the 20-team Campeonato, with an even W5-D7-L5 record. Although they've won half of their eight home games so far, they've scored just seven times. In total Moises Lucarelli Stadium has seen the net ripple just 13 times, with 6/8 games produced Under 2.5 Goals and the She Monkeys scoring just once in their last four appearances.
Compare that to tonight's visitors, Avai, who have conjured 26 goals in nine home matches. Happily for us, the Lion of the Island is not nearly so rampant when it leaves the island. Six of Avai's eight away games have delivered Under 2.5 Goals, with the Lion itself scoring just once its last four outings.
Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.824/5 in Ponte Preta v Avai
2015 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 113pts
Returned: 105.58pts
P/L: -7.42pts